Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 27°C (27.5%) and 28°C (27.0%) as Taipei's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast models projecting daytime highs in this range under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers. Recent cooler air from a passing northern front, evident in May 4's observed 24°C peak, has moderated early May warmth, aligning with historical averages of 27°C for Taipei amid the onset of plum rain season influences like elevated humidity and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating. Model ensembles show tight spread due to steering winds and instability potential, with new CWA updates expected early May 5 potentially tipping the balance; resolution hinges on official Songshan Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 6?
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
29°C 18%
26°C 10%
$10,429 Vol.
$10,429 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
34%
28°C
36%
29°C
18%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
29°C 18%
26°C 10%
$10,429 Vol.
$10,429 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
34%
28°C
36%
29°C
18%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 27°C (27.5%) and 28°C (27.0%) as Taipei's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast models projecting daytime highs in this range under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers. Recent cooler air from a passing northern front, evident in May 4's observed 24°C peak, has moderated early May warmth, aligning with historical averages of 27°C for Taipei amid the onset of plum rain season influences like elevated humidity and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating. Model ensembles show tight spread due to steering winds and instability potential, with new CWA updates expected early May 5 potentially tipping the balance; resolution hinges on official Songshan Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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