The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 21°C high in Taipei today, projecting a daytime maximum of 21-22°C under persistent cloud cover and occasional showers with an 80% precipitation chance. This positioning stems from a lingering weather system over northern Taiwan reducing solar insolation and surface heating, a stark contrast to May climatological averages near 29°C. Observations this morning align with model consensus, showing comfortable conditions and moderate UV index of 3. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks or lighter showers allowing brief warming to 22°C, though high rain odds favor the lower end; track CWA hourly updates through sunset at 18:26.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 5 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 5 de mayo?
21°C 96.4%
22°C 3.2%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,942 Vol.
$50,942 Vol.
5 may 2026
21°C
96%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C o más
<1%
21°C 96.4%
22°C 3.2%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,942 Vol.
$50,942 Vol.
5 may 2026
21°C
$7,921 Vol.
96%
22°C
$4,109 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5,540 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,019 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,739 Vol.
1%
26°C o más
$12,243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 21°C high in Taipei today, projecting a daytime maximum of 21-22°C under persistent cloud cover and occasional showers with an 80% precipitation chance. This positioning stems from a lingering weather system over northern Taiwan reducing solar insolation and surface heating, a stark contrast to May climatological averages near 29°C. Observations this morning align with model consensus, showing comfortable conditions and moderate UV index of 3. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks or lighter showers allowing brief warming to 22°C, though high rain odds favor the lower end; track CWA hourly updates through sunset at 18:26.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$50,942Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 21°C high in Taipei today, projecting a daytime maximum of 21-22°C under persistent cloud cover and occasional showers with an 80% precipitation chance. This positioning stems from a lingering weather system over northern Taiwan reducing solar insolation and surface heating, a stark contrast to May climatological averages near 29°C. Observations this morning align with model consensus, showing comfortable conditions and moderate UV index of 3. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks or lighter showers allowing brief warming to 22°C, though high rain odds favor the lower end; track CWA hourly updates through sunset at 18:26.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,942Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 21°C high in Taipei today, projecting a daytime maximum of 21-22°C under persistent cloud cover and occasional showers with an 80% precipitation chance. This positioning stems from a lingering weather system over northern Taiwan reducing solar insolation and surface heating, a stark contrast to May climatological averages near 29°C. Observations this morning align with model consensus, showing comfortable conditions and moderate UV index of 3. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks or lighter showers allowing brief warming to 22°C, though high rain odds favor the lower end; track CWA hourly updates through sunset at 18:26.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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