Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 28°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 27–28.5°C under weak subtropical ridging. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze incursions from the South China Sea moderating coastal heating versus urban heat island effects in densely built areas pushing toward 28°C; partial cloud cover and isolated showers, common in early May's pre-monsoon transition, could suppress maxima to 27°C. Climatological May 6 highs average 28°C, but current humidity above 80% and light winds favor the lower end. Watch CMA's evening update and Bao'an station observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 6?
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
29°C 17%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
12%
27°C
31%
28°C
34%
29°C
17%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
29°C 17%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
22°C or below
$849 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$398 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$729 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,896 Vol.
12%
27°C
$464 Vol.
31%
28°C
$478 Vol.
34%
29°C
$456 Vol.
17%
30°C
$809 Vol.
6%
31°C
$746 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$459 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 28°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 27–28.5°C under weak subtropical ridging. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze incursions from the South China Sea moderating coastal heating versus urban heat island effects in densely built areas pushing toward 28°C; partial cloud cover and isolated showers, common in early May's pre-monsoon transition, could suppress maxima to 27°C. Climatological May 6 highs average 28°C, but current humidity above 80% and light winds favor the lower end. Watch CMA's evening update and Bao'an station observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volumen
$7,559Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 28°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 27–28.5°C under weak subtropical ridging. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze incursions from the South China Sea moderating coastal heating versus urban heat island effects in densely built areas pushing toward 28°C; partial cloud cover and isolated showers, common in early May's pre-monsoon transition, could suppress maxima to 27°C. Climatological May 6 highs average 28°C, but current humidity above 80% and light winds favor the lower end. Watch CMA's evening update and Bao'an station observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,559Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 28°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 27–28.5°C under weak subtropical ridging. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze incursions from the South China Sea moderating coastal heating versus urban heat island effects in densely built areas pushing toward 28°C; partial cloud cover and isolated showers, common in early May's pre-monsoon transition, could suppress maxima to 27°C. Climatological May 6 highs average 28°C, but current humidity above 80% and light winds favor the lower end. Watch CMA's evening update and Bao'an station observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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