Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 74-75°F at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 73-75°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) under a persistent upper-level ridge. This high-pressure pattern has suppressed marine stratus clouds, enabling mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-7 mph to promote efficient solar heating well above the May climatological average of 64°F. Recent observations confirm the warm trend, with KSEA highs of 81°F on May 3 and 77°F on May 4 amid clear conditions and morning lows near 55°F. Uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon sea-breezes or thin high clouds that could cap peaks 1-3°F lower; monitor midday NWS updates as the resolution window progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 5?
72-73°F 43%
74-75°F 31%
70-71°F 15.3%
68-69°F 6.6%
$62,406 Vol.
$62,406 Vol.
5 may 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
6%
78°F or higher
4%
72-73°F 43%
74-75°F 31%
70-71°F 15.3%
68-69°F 6.6%
$62,406 Vol.
$62,406 Vol.
5 may 2026
59°F or below
$4,974 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,559 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$3,129 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,154 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$6,350 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$7,047 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$7,313 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$5,565 Vol.
43%
74-75°F
$4,450 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$5,053 Vol.
6%
78°F or higher
$11,880 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 74-75°F at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 73-75°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) under a persistent upper-level ridge. This high-pressure pattern has suppressed marine stratus clouds, enabling mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-7 mph to promote efficient solar heating well above the May climatological average of 64°F. Recent observations confirm the warm trend, with KSEA highs of 81°F on May 3 and 77°F on May 4 amid clear conditions and morning lows near 55°F. Uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon sea-breezes or thin high clouds that could cap peaks 1-3°F lower; monitor midday NWS updates as the resolution window progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$62,406Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 74-75°F at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 73-75°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) under a persistent upper-level ridge. This high-pressure pattern has suppressed marine stratus clouds, enabling mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-7 mph to promote efficient solar heating well above the May climatological average of 64°F. Recent observations confirm the warm trend, with KSEA highs of 81°F on May 3 and 77°F on May 4 amid clear conditions and morning lows near 55°F. Uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon sea-breezes or thin high clouds that could cap peaks 1-3°F lower; monitor midday NWS updates as the resolution window progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62,406Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 74-75°F at 35.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 73-75°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) under a persistent upper-level ridge. This high-pressure pattern has suppressed marine stratus clouds, enabling mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-7 mph to promote efficient solar heating well above the May climatological average of 64°F. Recent observations confirm the warm trend, with KSEA highs of 81°F on May 3 and 77°F on May 4 amid clear conditions and morning lows near 55°F. Uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon sea-breezes or thin high clouds that could cap peaks 1-3°F lower; monitor midday NWS updates as the resolution window progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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