Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Seattle's May 6 high temperature in the 68-71°F range at over 50% combined implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF showing a high-pressure ridge weakening over the Pacific Northwest after record warmth near 79-80°F on May 4. The close split between 68-69°F (29.5%) and 70-71°F (23.5%) reflects uncertainty in stratus cloud intrusion from Puget Sound and light onshore winds, which could cap highs by 2-3°F, versus clearer skies allowing solar heating to push toward 71°F. Historical May early averages hover near 64°F, but current upper-air patterns favor above-normal warmth; watch overnight model updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 31%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 6%
NUEVO
$12,401 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,401 Vol.
6 may 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 31%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 6%
NUEVO
$12,401 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,401 Vol.
6 may 2026
61°F or below
$870 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,485 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$1,259 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$713 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$481 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$679 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$2,696 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$1,395 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$1,607 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$648 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$569 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Seattle's May 6 high temperature in the 68-71°F range at over 50% combined implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF showing a high-pressure ridge weakening over the Pacific Northwest after record warmth near 79-80°F on May 4. The close split between 68-69°F (29.5%) and 70-71°F (23.5%) reflects uncertainty in stratus cloud intrusion from Puget Sound and light onshore winds, which could cap highs by 2-3°F, versus clearer skies allowing solar heating to push toward 71°F. Historical May early averages hover near 64°F, but current upper-air patterns favor above-normal warmth; watch overnight model updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volumen
$12,401Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Seattle's May 6 high temperature in the 68-71°F range at over 50% combined implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF showing a high-pressure ridge weakening over the Pacific Northwest after record warmth near 79-80°F on May 4. The close split between 68-69°F (29.5%) and 70-71°F (23.5%) reflects uncertainty in stratus cloud intrusion from Puget Sound and light onshore winds, which could cap highs by 2-3°F, versus clearer skies allowing solar heating to push toward 71°F. Historical May early averages hover near 64°F, but current upper-air patterns favor above-normal warmth; watch overnight model updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,401Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Seattle's May 6 high temperature in the 68-71°F range at over 50% combined implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF showing a high-pressure ridge weakening over the Pacific Northwest after record warmth near 79-80°F on May 4. The close split between 68-69°F (29.5%) and 70-71°F (23.5%) reflects uncertainty in stratus cloud intrusion from Puget Sound and light onshore winds, which could cap highs by 2-3°F, versus clearer skies allowing solar heating to push toward 71°F. Historical May early averages hover near 64°F, but current upper-air patterns favor above-normal warmth; watch overnight model updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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