Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (41%) and 14°C (39.5%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting the tight spread in Météo-France's latest short-range forecast and ECMWF ensemble means hovering around 13.5°C amid a cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover over Île-de-France. This setup, driven by a lingering low-pressure system north of France, caps daytime heating well below the 18°C May climatological average, with GFS runs showing similar restraint due to moderate winds enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include the exact timing of potential afternoon breaks in stratiform clouds and subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures; evening model updates today (May 5) and early observations tomorrow could tip the balance before resolution via official Paris station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 6?
13°C 38%
14°C 35%
12°C 15%
15°C 13%
NUEVO
$15,509 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,509 Vol.
6 may 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
15%
13°C
38%
14°C
35%
15°C
13%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 38%
14°C 35%
12°C 15%
15°C 13%
NUEVO
$15,509 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,509 Vol.
6 may 2026
8°C or below
$266 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$946 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,327 Vol.
1%
12°C
$2,181 Vol.
15%
13°C
$1,325 Vol.
38%
14°C
$1,592 Vol.
35%
15°C
$2,226 Vol.
13%
16°C
$1,936 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,642 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (41%) and 14°C (39.5%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting the tight spread in Météo-France's latest short-range forecast and ECMWF ensemble means hovering around 13.5°C amid a cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover over Île-de-France. This setup, driven by a lingering low-pressure system north of France, caps daytime heating well below the 18°C May climatological average, with GFS runs showing similar restraint due to moderate winds enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include the exact timing of potential afternoon breaks in stratiform clouds and subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures; evening model updates today (May 5) and early observations tomorrow could tip the balance before resolution via official Paris station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volumen
$15,509Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (41%) and 14°C (39.5%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting the tight spread in Météo-France's latest short-range forecast and ECMWF ensemble means hovering around 13.5°C amid a cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover over Île-de-France. This setup, driven by a lingering low-pressure system north of France, caps daytime heating well below the 18°C May climatological average, with GFS runs showing similar restraint due to moderate winds enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include the exact timing of potential afternoon breaks in stratiform clouds and subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures; evening model updates today (May 5) and early observations tomorrow could tip the balance before resolution via official Paris station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,509Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (41%) and 14°C (39.5%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting the tight spread in Météo-France's latest short-range forecast and ECMWF ensemble means hovering around 13.5°C amid a cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover over Île-de-France. This setup, driven by a lingering low-pressure system north of France, caps daytime heating well below the 18°C May climatological average, with GFS runs showing similar restraint due to moderate winds enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include the exact timing of potential afternoon breaks in stratiform clouds and subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures; evening model updates today (May 5) and early observations tomorrow could tip the balance before resolution via official Paris station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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