Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 15-18°C highs for Paris on May 7, with 17°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a tight cluster reflecting model spread. A persistent low-pressure system over northern Europe introduces cool northerly winds and scattered showers, capping insolation and favoring milder outcomes over extremes; ECMWF clusters cooler around 15-16°C due to prolonged cloud cover, while GFS hints at 17-18°C with partial afternoon clearing. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, but current negative temperature anomalies from recent frontal passages temper upside potential. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, influencing final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 7?
17°C 35%
16°C 31%
18°C 19%
15°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
31%
17°C
35%
18°C
19%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 35%
16°C 31%
18°C 19%
15°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
10°C or below
$295 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$204 Vol.
4%
15°C
$183 Vol.
11%
16°C
$174 Vol.
31%
17°C
$125 Vol.
35%
18°C
$80 Vol.
19%
19°C
$108 Vol.
6%
20°C or higher
$164 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 15-18°C highs for Paris on May 7, with 17°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a tight cluster reflecting model spread. A persistent low-pressure system over northern Europe introduces cool northerly winds and scattered showers, capping insolation and favoring milder outcomes over extremes; ECMWF clusters cooler around 15-16°C due to prolonged cloud cover, while GFS hints at 17-18°C with partial afternoon clearing. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, but current negative temperature anomalies from recent frontal passages temper upside potential. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, influencing final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$1,617Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 15-18°C highs for Paris on May 7, with 17°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a tight cluster reflecting model spread. A persistent low-pressure system over northern Europe introduces cool northerly winds and scattered showers, capping insolation and favoring milder outcomes over extremes; ECMWF clusters cooler around 15-16°C due to prolonged cloud cover, while GFS hints at 17-18°C with partial afternoon clearing. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, but current negative temperature anomalies from recent frontal passages temper upside potential. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, influencing final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,617Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 15-18°C highs for Paris on May 7, with 17°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a tight cluster reflecting model spread. A persistent low-pressure system over northern Europe introduces cool northerly winds and scattered showers, capping insolation and favoring milder outcomes over extremes; ECMWF clusters cooler around 15-16°C due to prolonged cloud cover, while GFS hints at 17-18°C with partial afternoon clearing. Historical May averages hover near 18°C, but current negative temperature anomalies from recent frontal passages temper upside potential. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, influencing final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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