Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high near 31°C at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 7, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 29–32°C outcomes as traders weigh convective uncertainties in the early wet season. High relative humidity around 80% and light winds enhance sea breeze convergence, promoting afternoon cumulus clouds and thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap peak temperatures, though clearer intervals could push toward 32°C or higher as seen on May 1 (33°C). Recent days show variability with 30°C on May 2 amid showers, aligning with May climatology averaging 31°C highs. Updated 12Z model runs and local observations tonight will clarify thunderstorm probabilities, potentially shifting the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 7 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 7 de mayo?
32°C o más 60%
31°C 35%
30°C 10%
29°C 4.2%
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
35%
32°C o más
60%
32°C o más 60%
31°C 35%
30°C 10%
29°C 4.2%
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
35%
32°C o más
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high near 31°C at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 7, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 29–32°C outcomes as traders weigh convective uncertainties in the early wet season. High relative humidity around 80% and light winds enhance sea breeze convergence, promoting afternoon cumulus clouds and thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap peak temperatures, though clearer intervals could push toward 32°C or higher as seen on May 1 (33°C). Recent days show variability with 30°C on May 2 amid showers, aligning with May climatology averaging 31°C highs. Updated 12Z model runs and local observations tonight will clarify thunderstorm probabilities, potentially shifting the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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