Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 6?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 6?
31°C 39%
32°C 34%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
34%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
32°C 34%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
25°C or below
$318 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$679 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$649 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,002 Vol.
20%
31°C
$582 Vol.
39%
32°C
$345 Vol.
34%
33°C
$282 Vol.
12%
34°C
$426 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volumen
$4,986Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,986Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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