Ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Munich's May 6 high temperature around 20°C, fueling tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and 21°C close at 28%, while 19°C trails at 18.5%. This positioning stems from consensus on mild southerly airflow under a developing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, promoting above-normal warmth for early May—where climatological highs average 18-19°C—but divergent cloud cover predictions and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty favoring this narrow range. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cumulus development suppressing 21-22°C peaks versus clearer skies allowing slight overshoot. Daily model updates through May 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 6?
20°C 34%
21°C 29%
19°C 23%
18°C 8.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
23%
20°C
34%
21°C
29%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 34%
21°C 29%
19°C 23%
18°C 8.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
14°C or below
$346 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,040 Vol.
1%
18°C
$933 Vol.
9%
19°C
$1,214 Vol.
23%
20°C
$1,016 Vol.
34%
21°C
$798 Vol.
29%
22°C
$592 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,645 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$846 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Munich's May 6 high temperature around 20°C, fueling tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and 21°C close at 28%, while 19°C trails at 18.5%. This positioning stems from consensus on mild southerly airflow under a developing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, promoting above-normal warmth for early May—where climatological highs average 18-19°C—but divergent cloud cover predictions and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty favoring this narrow range. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cumulus development suppressing 21-22°C peaks versus clearer skies allowing slight overshoot. Daily model updates through May 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Volumen
$9,138Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Munich's May 6 high temperature around 20°C, fueling tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and 21°C close at 28%, while 19°C trails at 18.5%. This positioning stems from consensus on mild southerly airflow under a developing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, promoting above-normal warmth for early May—where climatological highs average 18-19°C—but divergent cloud cover predictions and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty favoring this narrow range. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cumulus development suppressing 21-22°C peaks versus clearer skies allowing slight overshoot. Daily model updates through May 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,138Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Munich's May 6 high temperature around 20°C, fueling tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and 21°C close at 28%, while 19°C trails at 18.5%. This positioning stems from consensus on mild southerly airflow under a developing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, promoting above-normal warmth for early May—where climatological highs average 18-19°C—but divergent cloud cover predictions and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty favoring this narrow range. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cumulus development suppressing 21-22°C peaks versus clearer skies allowing slight overshoot. Daily model updates through May 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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