Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, projects Munich's highest temperature today at 24-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. This consensus, bolstered by yesterday's observed 23°C maximum at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site—positions the market-implied 83% probability for 23°C or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 17-18°C. The 15.5% odds on 22°C reflect ensemble spreads accounting for possible afternoon cloudiness or minor model divergences, while lower outcomes carry negligible probabilities amid favorable conditions. Real-time DWD observations will track the afternoon peak for final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 5 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 5 de mayo?
23°C o más 98.8%
22°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$36,821 Vol.
$36,821 Vol.
5 may 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C o más
99%
23°C o más 98.8%
22°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$36,821 Vol.
$36,821 Vol.
5 may 2026
18°C
$2,549 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,717 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,063 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,699 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,092 Vol.
1%
23°C o más
$10,209 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, projects Munich's highest temperature today at 24-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. This consensus, bolstered by yesterday's observed 23°C maximum at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site—positions the market-implied 83% probability for 23°C or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 17-18°C. The 15.5% odds on 22°C reflect ensemble spreads accounting for possible afternoon cloudiness or minor model divergences, while lower outcomes carry negligible probabilities amid favorable conditions. Real-time DWD observations will track the afternoon peak for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$36,821Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, projects Munich's highest temperature today at 24-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. This consensus, bolstered by yesterday's observed 23°C maximum at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site—positions the market-implied 83% probability for 23°C or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 17-18°C. The 15.5% odds on 22°C reflect ensemble spreads accounting for possible afternoon cloudiness or minor model divergences, while lower outcomes carry negligible probabilities amid favorable conditions. Real-time DWD observations will track the afternoon peak for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,821Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, projects Munich's highest temperature today at 24-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. This consensus, bolstered by yesterday's observed 23°C maximum at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site—positions the market-implied 83% probability for 23°C or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 17-18°C. The 15.5% odds on 22°C reflect ensemble spreads accounting for possible afternoon cloudiness or minor model divergences, while lower outcomes carry negligible probabilities amid favorable conditions. Real-time DWD observations will track the afternoon peak for final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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