Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 16°C in Milan today, reflecting strong model consensus amid northerly airflow delivering cool continental air into the Po Valley, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing daytime heating. This drives the market-implied 98.5% probability for 16°C, as morning observations from stations like Milano Linate and Brera align closely, with highs so far in the mid-teens under overcast conditions—a departure from early May climatological averages around 22°C. Trader sentiment underscores the wisdom of crowds in parsing tight ensemble spreads, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 17°C; ARPA Lombardia's daily bulletin and final station data will resolve the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 5?
16°C 98.4%
17°C 1.4%
18°C or higher <1%
$48,151 Vol.
$48,151 Vol.
5 may 2026
16°C
98%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98.4%
17°C 1.4%
18°C or higher <1%
$48,151 Vol.
$48,151 Vol.
5 may 2026
16°C
$5,699 Vol.
98%
17°C
$7,434 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$8,841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 16°C in Milan today, reflecting strong model consensus amid northerly airflow delivering cool continental air into the Po Valley, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing daytime heating. This drives the market-implied 98.5% probability for 16°C, as morning observations from stations like Milano Linate and Brera align closely, with highs so far in the mid-teens under overcast conditions—a departure from early May climatological averages around 22°C. Trader sentiment underscores the wisdom of crowds in parsing tight ensemble spreads, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 17°C; ARPA Lombardia's daily bulletin and final station data will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$48,151Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 16°C in Milan today, reflecting strong model consensus amid northerly airflow delivering cool continental air into the Po Valley, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing daytime heating. This drives the market-implied 98.5% probability for 16°C, as morning observations from stations like Milano Linate and Brera align closely, with highs so far in the mid-teens under overcast conditions—a departure from early May climatological averages around 22°C. Trader sentiment underscores the wisdom of crowds in parsing tight ensemble spreads, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 17°C; ARPA Lombardia's daily bulletin and final station data will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$48,151Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 16°C in Milan today, reflecting strong model consensus amid northerly airflow delivering cool continental air into the Po Valley, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing daytime heating. This drives the market-implied 98.5% probability for 16°C, as morning observations from stations like Milano Linate and Brera align closely, with highs so far in the mid-teens under overcast conditions—a departure from early May climatological averages around 22°C. Trader sentiment underscores the wisdom of crowds in parsing tight ensemble spreads, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 17°C; ARPA Lombardia's daily bulletin and final station data will resolve the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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