Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 20–22°C for Milan's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a transitional spring pattern over northern Italy. Latest updates from Italian services like 3B Meteo indicate a maximum near 23°C as an Atlantic low-pressure system departs, bringing clearing skies and southerly flow after rainy conditions on May 5–6 that capped recent highs at 18°C. Differentiating factors include the timing of convective clearing, boundary-layer mixing under a developing upper-level ridge, and ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—partial cloudiness could suppress peaks to 20–21°C, while full insolation enables 22°C. New model outputs expected today may sharpen probabilities; climatological May 7 highs average 21°C.