National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project a minimum temperature of 52-53°F at New York City Central Park—the official climate station—for May 4, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light west winds around 10 mph that mix the urban boundary layer and limit radiational cooling, alongside partly cloudy skies and dry low-40s°F dew points providing a thermal floor. Overnight observations already dipped to near 54°F early morning, aligning with updated GFS and NAM runs from the past 24 hours showing consensus in this bin, following May 3's cooler 46-47°F low amid lingering cool air. Trader-implied odds reflect this evidence-based outlook against early May climatological normals of 54°F lows, with minimal upside for colder outcomes absent unexpected clearing; hourly updates from NOAA continue to refine resolution near midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 4 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 4 de mayo?
52-53°F 88%
50-51°F 7%
48-49°F 1.9%
46-47°F <1%
$22,346 Vol.
$22,346 Vol.
4 may 2026
43°F o menos
<1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
88%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
52-53°F 88%
50-51°F 7%
48-49°F 1.9%
46-47°F <1%
$22,346 Vol.
$22,346 Vol.
4 may 2026
43°F o menos
$6,857 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,679 Vol.
1%
46-47°F
$595 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$710 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$700 Vol.
7%
52-53°F
$343 Vol.
88%
54-55°F
$2,162 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project a minimum temperature of 52-53°F at New York City Central Park—the official climate station—for May 4, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light west winds around 10 mph that mix the urban boundary layer and limit radiational cooling, alongside partly cloudy skies and dry low-40s°F dew points providing a thermal floor. Overnight observations already dipped to near 54°F early morning, aligning with updated GFS and NAM runs from the past 24 hours showing consensus in this bin, following May 3's cooler 46-47°F low amid lingering cool air. Trader-implied odds reflect this evidence-based outlook against early May climatological normals of 54°F lows, with minimal upside for colder outcomes absent unexpected clearing; hourly updates from NOAA continue to refine resolution near midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$22,346Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project a minimum temperature of 52-53°F at New York City Central Park—the official climate station—for May 4, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light west winds around 10 mph that mix the urban boundary layer and limit radiational cooling, alongside partly cloudy skies and dry low-40s°F dew points providing a thermal floor. Overnight observations already dipped to near 54°F early morning, aligning with updated GFS and NAM runs from the past 24 hours showing consensus in this bin, following May 3's cooler 46-47°F low amid lingering cool air. Trader-implied odds reflect this evidence-based outlook against early May climatological normals of 54°F lows, with minimal upside for colder outcomes absent unexpected clearing; hourly updates from NOAA continue to refine resolution near midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,346Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project a minimum temperature of 52-53°F at New York City Central Park—the official climate station—for May 4, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light west winds around 10 mph that mix the urban boundary layer and limit radiational cooling, alongside partly cloudy skies and dry low-40s°F dew points providing a thermal floor. Overnight observations already dipped to near 54°F early morning, aligning with updated GFS and NAM runs from the past 24 hours showing consensus in this bin, following May 3's cooler 46-47°F low amid lingering cool air. Trader-implied odds reflect this evidence-based outlook against early May climatological normals of 54°F lows, with minimal upside for colder outcomes absent unexpected clearing; hourly updates from NOAA continue to refine resolution near midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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