Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 33–36°C for Karachi's highest temperature on May 7, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert amid persistent high-pressure ridges and dry continental airflow. Recent observations show early May highs surpassing 40°C with low humidity amplifying daytime heating, pushing market-implied odds for 36°C or higher to 39% despite some forecast models like ECMWF suggesting peaks near 34°C under partly sunny skies. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea, variable low-level winds, and minimal cloud cover; historical May averages hover at 35°C, but above-normal temperatures per PMD's monthly outlook add upside risk. Watch PMD's daily forecast update on May 6 for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 7?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 7?
36°C or higher 36%
35°C 31%
34°C 29%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
29%
35°C
31%
36°C or higher
32%
36°C or higher 36%
35°C 31%
34°C 29%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
26°C or below
$173 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$75 Vol.
1%
29°C
$70 Vol.
1%
30°C
$38 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C
$143 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
31%
36°C or higher
$36 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 33–36°C for Karachi's highest temperature on May 7, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert amid persistent high-pressure ridges and dry continental airflow. Recent observations show early May highs surpassing 40°C with low humidity amplifying daytime heating, pushing market-implied odds for 36°C or higher to 39% despite some forecast models like ECMWF suggesting peaks near 34°C under partly sunny skies. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea, variable low-level winds, and minimal cloud cover; historical May averages hover at 35°C, but above-normal temperatures per PMD's monthly outlook add upside risk. Watch PMD's daily forecast update on May 6 for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$727Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 33–36°C for Karachi's highest temperature on May 7, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert amid persistent high-pressure ridges and dry continental airflow. Recent observations show early May highs surpassing 40°C with low humidity amplifying daytime heating, pushing market-implied odds for 36°C or higher to 39% despite some forecast models like ECMWF suggesting peaks near 34°C under partly sunny skies. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea, variable low-level winds, and minimal cloud cover; historical May averages hover at 35°C, but above-normal temperatures per PMD's monthly outlook add upside risk. Watch PMD's daily forecast update on May 6 for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$727Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 33–36°C for Karachi's highest temperature on May 7, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert amid persistent high-pressure ridges and dry continental airflow. Recent observations show early May highs surpassing 40°C with low humidity amplifying daytime heating, pushing market-implied odds for 36°C or higher to 39% despite some forecast models like ECMWF suggesting peaks near 34°C under partly sunny skies. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea, variable low-level winds, and minimal cloud cover; historical May averages hover at 35°C, but above-normal temperatures per PMD's monthly outlook add upside risk. Watch PMD's daily forecast update on May 6 for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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