National Weather Service forecasts peg the high temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) near 81°F today, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 53.5% market-implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and 88% morning humidity that curb solar insolation and daytime heating. Yesterday's May 3 high of 81°F under similar cloudy conditions sets the baseline, with onshore sea breeze flow and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms further moderating warmth below the early May climatological normal of 86°F. Model ensembles show limited upside potential unless clouds dissipate, positioning 84-85°F (19.4%) and 80-81°F (18.5%) as viable alternatives; real-time KMIA observations will refine probabilities through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 4 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 4 de mayo?
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 21.3%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 4.9%
$87,058 Vol.
$87,058 Vol.
4 may 2026
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 21.3%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 4.9%
$87,058 Vol.
$87,058 Vol.
4 may 2026
76-77°F
$12,598 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,989 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$6,174 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$3,176 Vol.
52%
84-85°F
$4,746 Vol.
21%
86-87°F
$5,487 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$9,486 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$7,970 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$12,111 Vol.
<1%
94°F o más
$8,734 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts peg the high temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) near 81°F today, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 53.5% market-implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and 88% morning humidity that curb solar insolation and daytime heating. Yesterday's May 3 high of 81°F under similar cloudy conditions sets the baseline, with onshore sea breeze flow and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms further moderating warmth below the early May climatological normal of 86°F. Model ensembles show limited upside potential unless clouds dissipate, positioning 84-85°F (19.4%) and 80-81°F (18.5%) as viable alternatives; real-time KMIA observations will refine probabilities through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$87,058Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts peg the high temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) near 81°F today, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 53.5% market-implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and 88% morning humidity that curb solar insolation and daytime heating. Yesterday's May 3 high of 81°F under similar cloudy conditions sets the baseline, with onshore sea breeze flow and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms further moderating warmth below the early May climatological normal of 86°F. Model ensembles show limited upside potential unless clouds dissipate, positioning 84-85°F (19.4%) and 80-81°F (18.5%) as viable alternatives; real-time KMIA observations will refine probabilities through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$87,058Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts peg the high temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) near 81°F today, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 53.5% market-implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and 88% morning humidity that curb solar insolation and daytime heating. Yesterday's May 3 high of 81°F under similar cloudy conditions sets the baseline, with onshore sea breeze flow and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms further moderating warmth below the early May climatological normal of 86°F. Model ensembles show limited upside potential unless clouds dissipate, positioning 84-85°F (19.4%) and 80-81°F (18.5%) as viable alternatives; real-time KMIA observations will refine probabilities through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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