National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 5?
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$89,072 Vol.
$89,072 Vol.
5 may 2026
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
Yes
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$89,072 Vol.
$89,072 Vol.
5 may 2026
41°F or below
$27,074 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$8,271 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$5,358 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$5,976 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$9,026 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$5,701 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,455 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$4,778 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$6,419 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$5,259 Vol.
No
60°F or higher
$7,755 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$89,072Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$89,072Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes