Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Mexico City today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting the city's northern zones, driving the market's 98.8% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This consensus reflects model agreement on persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies and intense solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where May climatological highs average 25–26°C but current anomalies push well above. Real-time observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport will confirm the peak. Realistic challenges include isolated showers or sudden convective clouds reducing insolation, though low precipitation odds (per SMN) make sub-27°C unlikely before evening updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 5?
27°C or higher 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,310 Vol.
$23,310 Vol.
5 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
100%
27°C or higher 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,310 Vol.
$23,310 Vol.
5 may 2026
17°C or below
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$773 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$467 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$850 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,656 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,780 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,431 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$722 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,945 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,826 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$3,826 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Mexico City today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting the city's northern zones, driving the market's 98.8% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This consensus reflects model agreement on persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies and intense solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where May climatological highs average 25–26°C but current anomalies push well above. Real-time observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport will confirm the peak. Realistic challenges include isolated showers or sudden convective clouds reducing insolation, though low precipitation odds (per SMN) make sub-27°C unlikely before evening updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$23,310Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Mexico City today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting the city's northern zones, driving the market's 98.8% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This consensus reflects model agreement on persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies and intense solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where May climatological highs average 25–26°C but current anomalies push well above. Real-time observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport will confirm the peak. Realistic challenges include isolated showers or sudden convective clouds reducing insolation, though low precipitation odds (per SMN) make sub-27°C unlikely before evening updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,310Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Mexico City today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting the city's northern zones, driving the market's 98.8% implied probability for 27°C or higher. This consensus reflects model agreement on persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies and intense solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where May climatological highs average 25–26°C but current anomalies push well above. Real-time observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport will confirm the peak. Realistic challenges include isolated showers or sudden convective clouds reducing insolation, though low precipitation odds (per SMN) make sub-27°C unlikely before evening updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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