Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, NYC, points to a high near 72°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds at 5-10 mph, driving trader consensus toward 72-73°F (49% implied probability) and 70-71°F (35.5%). Morning observations at 56-58°F with low humidity (25-33%) and fair conditions support strong diurnal heating after a recent frontal passage cleared cooler air, while 850 hPa temperatures around 11-12°C bolster mild warmth above the 68°F climatological normal. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight agreement in the low 70s, though minor cloud variability could cap peaks; hourly updates from NOAA stations through afternoon peak heating around 3 PM EDT will sharpen resolution as LaGuardia or Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 4?
72-73°F 49%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 9%
$46,339 Vol.
$46,339 Vol.
4 may 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 49%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 9%
$46,339 Vol.
$46,339 Vol.
4 may 2026
61°F or below
$7,409 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$8,565 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$5,120 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$3,690 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$5,093 Vol.
36%
72-73°F
$3,391 Vol.
49%
74-75°F
$2,295 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$4,645 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, NYC, points to a high near 72°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds at 5-10 mph, driving trader consensus toward 72-73°F (49% implied probability) and 70-71°F (35.5%). Morning observations at 56-58°F with low humidity (25-33%) and fair conditions support strong diurnal heating after a recent frontal passage cleared cooler air, while 850 hPa temperatures around 11-12°C bolster mild warmth above the 68°F climatological normal. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight agreement in the low 70s, though minor cloud variability could cap peaks; hourly updates from NOAA stations through afternoon peak heating around 3 PM EDT will sharpen resolution as LaGuardia or Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$46,339Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, NYC, points to a high near 72°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds at 5-10 mph, driving trader consensus toward 72-73°F (49% implied probability) and 70-71°F (35.5%). Morning observations at 56-58°F with low humidity (25-33%) and fair conditions support strong diurnal heating after a recent frontal passage cleared cooler air, while 850 hPa temperatures around 11-12°C bolster mild warmth above the 68°F climatological normal. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight agreement in the low 70s, though minor cloud variability could cap peaks; hourly updates from NOAA stations through afternoon peak heating around 3 PM EDT will sharpen resolution as LaGuardia or Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$46,339Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, NYC, points to a high near 72°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds at 5-10 mph, driving trader consensus toward 72-73°F (49% implied probability) and 70-71°F (35.5%). Morning observations at 56-58°F with low humidity (25-33%) and fair conditions support strong diurnal heating after a recent frontal passage cleared cooler air, while 850 hPa temperatures around 11-12°C bolster mild warmth above the 68°F climatological normal. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight agreement in the low 70s, though minor cloud variability could cap peaks; hourly updates from NOAA stations through afternoon peak heating around 3 PM EDT will sharpen resolution as LaGuardia or Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes