Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 31°C at 39% implied probability for Mexico City on May 6, aligned with the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting peak daytime heating around that mark under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show highs of 29–30°C over the past two days amid clear skies and low humidity, boosting solar insolation despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that typically caps May averages at 26–27°C. This warmth reflects early dry-season patterns before the rainy season onset, with minimal cloud cover enhancing surface temperatures. Updated SMN guidance and real-time satellite imagery expected later today could refine probabilities, as isolated afternoon thunderstorms remain a low-risk factor to limit extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
31°C 48%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,351 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,351 Vol.
6 may 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
48%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,351 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,351 Vol.
6 may 2026
25°C or below
$6,493 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$871 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,845 Vol.
1%
29°C
$166 Vol.
8%
30°C
$79 Vol.
26%
31°C
$381 Vol.
48%
32°C
$89 Vol.
21%
33°C
$223 Vol.
3%
34°C
$308 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$458 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 31°C at 39% implied probability for Mexico City on May 6, aligned with the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting peak daytime heating around that mark under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show highs of 29–30°C over the past two days amid clear skies and low humidity, boosting solar insolation despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that typically caps May averages at 26–27°C. This warmth reflects early dry-season patterns before the rainy season onset, with minimal cloud cover enhancing surface temperatures. Updated SMN guidance and real-time satellite imagery expected later today could refine probabilities, as isolated afternoon thunderstorms remain a low-risk factor to limit extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volumen
$11,351Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 31°C at 39% implied probability for Mexico City on May 6, aligned with the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting peak daytime heating around that mark under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show highs of 29–30°C over the past two days amid clear skies and low humidity, boosting solar insolation despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that typically caps May averages at 26–27°C. This warmth reflects early dry-season patterns before the rainy season onset, with minimal cloud cover enhancing surface temperatures. Updated SMN guidance and real-time satellite imagery expected later today could refine probabilities, as isolated afternoon thunderstorms remain a low-risk factor to limit extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,351Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 31°C at 39% implied probability for Mexico City on May 6, aligned with the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting peak daytime heating around that mark under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show highs of 29–30°C over the past two days amid clear skies and low humidity, boosting solar insolation despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that typically caps May averages at 26–27°C. This warmth reflects early dry-season patterns before the rainy season onset, with minimal cloud cover enhancing surface temperatures. Updated SMN guidance and real-time satellite imagery expected later today could refine probabilities, as isolated afternoon thunderstorms remain a low-risk factor to limit extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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