PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook and morning public weather forecast for Metro Manila pinpoint a daytime high of 35°C at the Port Area station on May 5 under easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% market-implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with seasonal dry conditions in May, when Manila's historical highs average 33–36°C amid low rainfall and high solar insolation, with recent days also peaking near 35°C per official records. Model consensus from PAGASA reflects stable atmospheric patterns, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting surface heating or urban heat island effects at the station, potentially nudging readings to 36°C; intraday observations and evening updates will clarify as the market nears resolution based on verified PAGASA measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 5?
35°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
36°C <1%
38°C <1%
$31,293 Vol.
$31,293 Vol.
5 may 2026
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
36°C <1%
38°C <1%
$31,293 Vol.
$31,293 Vol.
5 may 2026
35°C
$5,162 Vol.
100%
36°C
$3,061 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,469 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,066 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,861 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook and morning public weather forecast for Metro Manila pinpoint a daytime high of 35°C at the Port Area station on May 5 under easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% market-implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with seasonal dry conditions in May, when Manila's historical highs average 33–36°C amid low rainfall and high solar insolation, with recent days also peaking near 35°C per official records. Model consensus from PAGASA reflects stable atmospheric patterns, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting surface heating or urban heat island effects at the station, potentially nudging readings to 36°C; intraday observations and evening updates will clarify as the market nears resolution based on verified PAGASA measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$31,293Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook and morning public weather forecast for Metro Manila pinpoint a daytime high of 35°C at the Port Area station on May 5 under easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% market-implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with seasonal dry conditions in May, when Manila's historical highs average 33–36°C amid low rainfall and high solar insolation, with recent days also peaking near 35°C per official records. Model consensus from PAGASA reflects stable atmospheric patterns, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting surface heating or urban heat island effects at the station, potentially nudging readings to 36°C; intraday observations and evening updates will clarify as the market nears resolution based on verified PAGASA measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,293Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook and morning public weather forecast for Metro Manila pinpoint a daytime high of 35°C at the Port Area station on May 5 under easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% market-implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with seasonal dry conditions in May, when Manila's historical highs average 33–36°C amid low rainfall and high solar insolation, with recent days also peaking near 35°C per official records. Model consensus from PAGASA reflects stable atmospheric patterns, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting surface heating or urban heat island effects at the station, potentially nudging readings to 36°C; intraday observations and evening updates will clarify as the market nears resolution based on verified PAGASA measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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