PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast for Port Area in Metro Manila projects a high of 35°C on May 6 amid persistent easterlies driving partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers, with 0-20% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus on mid-30s outcomes at equal implied probabilities. This reflects May's climatological peak as the Philippines' hottest month, with historical Manila highs averaging 33-34°C but recent days consistently reaching 35°C under similar light winds and low humidity enhancing urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—thicker layers could cap peaks at 33-34°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and delayed sea breeze might boost to 36-37°C—though extremes remain unlikely given baseline trends and no tropical disturbances. Daily PAGASA updates expected to refine model consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 6?
36°C 47%
37°C 24%
35°C 17%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
13%
35°C
17%
36°C
47%
37°C
24%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 47%
37°C 24%
35°C 17%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
29°C or below
$195 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$265 Vol.
1%
32°C
$401 Vol.
1%
33°C
$693 Vol.
1%
34°C
$495 Vol.
13%
35°C
$160 Vol.
17%
36°C
$156 Vol.
47%
37°C
$79 Vol.
24%
38°C
$132 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$155 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast for Port Area in Metro Manila projects a high of 35°C on May 6 amid persistent easterlies driving partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers, with 0-20% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus on mid-30s outcomes at equal implied probabilities. This reflects May's climatological peak as the Philippines' hottest month, with historical Manila highs averaging 33-34°C but recent days consistently reaching 35°C under similar light winds and low humidity enhancing urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—thicker layers could cap peaks at 33-34°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and delayed sea breeze might boost to 36-37°C—though extremes remain unlikely given baseline trends and no tropical disturbances. Daily PAGASA updates expected to refine model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volumen
$3,045Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast for Port Area in Metro Manila projects a high of 35°C on May 6 amid persistent easterlies driving partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers, with 0-20% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus on mid-30s outcomes at equal implied probabilities. This reflects May's climatological peak as the Philippines' hottest month, with historical Manila highs averaging 33-34°C but recent days consistently reaching 35°C under similar light winds and low humidity enhancing urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—thicker layers could cap peaks at 33-34°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and delayed sea breeze might boost to 36-37°C—though extremes remain unlikely given baseline trends and no tropical disturbances. Daily PAGASA updates expected to refine model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,045Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast for Port Area in Metro Manila projects a high of 35°C on May 6 amid persistent easterlies driving partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers, with 0-20% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus on mid-30s outcomes at equal implied probabilities. This reflects May's climatological peak as the Philippines' hottest month, with historical Manila highs averaging 33-34°C but recent days consistently reaching 35°C under similar light winds and low humidity enhancing urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—thicker layers could cap peaks at 33-34°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and delayed sea breeze might boost to 36-37°C—though extremes remain unlikely given baseline trends and no tropical disturbances. Daily PAGASA updates expected to refine model consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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