Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 6?
37°C or higher 36%
36°C 33%
35°C 17%
34°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
17%
36°C
33%
37°C or higher
36%
37°C or higher 36%
36°C 33%
35°C 17%
34°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
27°C or below
$496 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$782 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$189 Vol.
1%
32°C
$410 Vol.
1%
33°C
$381 Vol.
1%
34°C
$207 Vol.
8%
35°C
$88 Vol.
17%
36°C
$79 Vol.
33%
37°C or higher
$84 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
Volumen
$3,459Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,459Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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