Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 38°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast of maximum temperatures reaching 37-39°C amid an ongoing heatwave from April 30 to May 6. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and elevating readings 4-6°C above early May seasonal norms of 34-35°C, consistent with AccuWeather models projecting highs near 39°C under hazy, very hot conditions. Historical May data shows frequent exceedances of 38°C during similar dry, pre-monsoon setups. Realistic challenges include unexpected strengthening of sea breezes or unforecasted marine-layer clouds cooling the coastal Masroor Airbase station, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood before evening observations finalize resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 5?
38°C or higher 87.5%
37°C 12.4%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$17,461 Vol.
$17,461 Vol.
5 may 2026
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
12%
38°C or higher
88%
38°C or higher 87.5%
37°C 12.4%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$17,461 Vol.
$17,461 Vol.
5 may 2026
35°C
$2,046 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,995 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,512 Vol.
12%
38°C or higher
$2,125 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 38°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast of maximum temperatures reaching 37-39°C amid an ongoing heatwave from April 30 to May 6. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and elevating readings 4-6°C above early May seasonal norms of 34-35°C, consistent with AccuWeather models projecting highs near 39°C under hazy, very hot conditions. Historical May data shows frequent exceedances of 38°C during similar dry, pre-monsoon setups. Realistic challenges include unexpected strengthening of sea breezes or unforecasted marine-layer clouds cooling the coastal Masroor Airbase station, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood before evening observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$17,461Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 38°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast of maximum temperatures reaching 37-39°C amid an ongoing heatwave from April 30 to May 6. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and elevating readings 4-6°C above early May seasonal norms of 34-35°C, consistent with AccuWeather models projecting highs near 39°C under hazy, very hot conditions. Historical May data shows frequent exceedances of 38°C during similar dry, pre-monsoon setups. Realistic challenges include unexpected strengthening of sea breezes or unforecasted marine-layer clouds cooling the coastal Masroor Airbase station, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood before evening observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,461Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 38°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast of maximum temperatures reaching 37-39°C amid an ongoing heatwave from April 30 to May 6. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and elevating readings 4-6°C above early May seasonal norms of 34-35°C, consistent with AccuWeather models projecting highs near 39°C under hazy, very hot conditions. Historical May data shows frequent exceedances of 38°C during similar dry, pre-monsoon setups. Realistic challenges include unexpected strengthening of sea breezes or unforecasted marine-layer clouds cooling the coastal Masroor Airbase station, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood before evening observations finalize resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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