Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's May 7 high temperature, with 33°C and 34°C leading at 26.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid BMKG's outlook for light to moderate rain and thunderstorms from May 4–7, capping peaks after recent clearer days nearing 34°C. AccuWeather aligns at 32°C (90°F) under considerable cloudiness and convective activity, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring early dry-season warmth but tempered by active atmospheric dynamics over Java. Urban heat island effects and variable cloud breaks differentiate outcomes, as partial clearing could boost highs by 1–2°C above model means near historical May averages of 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 7?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 7?
34°C 38%
33°C 23%
35°C 18%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
23%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 23%
35°C 18%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
28°C or below
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$726 Vol.
1%
31°C
$58 Vol.
5%
32°C
$208 Vol.
10%
33°C
$34 Vol.
23%
34°C
$206 Vol.
38%
35°C
$200 Vol.
18%
36°C
$25 Vol.
3%
37°C
$80 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's May 7 high temperature, with 33°C and 34°C leading at 26.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid BMKG's outlook for light to moderate rain and thunderstorms from May 4–7, capping peaks after recent clearer days nearing 34°C. AccuWeather aligns at 32°C (90°F) under considerable cloudiness and convective activity, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring early dry-season warmth but tempered by active atmospheric dynamics over Java. Urban heat island effects and variable cloud breaks differentiate outcomes, as partial clearing could boost highs by 1–2°C above model means near historical May averages of 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$2,442Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's May 7 high temperature, with 33°C and 34°C leading at 26.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid BMKG's outlook for light to moderate rain and thunderstorms from May 4–7, capping peaks after recent clearer days nearing 34°C. AccuWeather aligns at 32°C (90°F) under considerable cloudiness and convective activity, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring early dry-season warmth but tempered by active atmospheric dynamics over Java. Urban heat island effects and variable cloud breaks differentiate outcomes, as partial clearing could boost highs by 1–2°C above model means near historical May averages of 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,442Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's May 7 high temperature, with 33°C and 34°C leading at 26.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid BMKG's outlook for light to moderate rain and thunderstorms from May 4–7, capping peaks after recent clearer days nearing 34°C. AccuWeather aligns at 32°C (90°F) under considerable cloudiness and convective activity, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring early dry-season warmth but tempered by active atmospheric dynamics over Java. Urban heat island effects and variable cloud breaks differentiate outcomes, as partial clearing could boost highs by 1–2°C above model means near historical May averages of 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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