Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 32°C high in Jakarta on May 6 at 44.5% implied probability, driven by Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) latest hourly forecasts projecting midday peaks of 31-32°C under partly cloudy skies, mirroring the May 5 outlook. This aligns with Jakarta's May climatology, where average daily highs hover around 32°C amid the early dry season transition, enhanced by urban heat island effects but tempered by persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting extremes. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical tropical patterns without amplifying heat. Key uncertainty stems from potential clearing skies boosting 33°C (21%) or 35°C (21%) outcomes; watch BMKG's final pre-resolution update for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 6?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 6?
32°C 50%
33°C 22%
34°C 18%
35°C 12%
NUEVO
$24,304 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,304 Vol.
6 may 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
50%
33°C
22%
34°C
18%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 22%
34°C 18%
35°C 12%
NUEVO
$24,304 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,304 Vol.
6 may 2026
28°C or below
$2,543 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,973 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,530 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,977 Vol.
5%
32°C
$8,542 Vol.
50%
33°C
$1,147 Vol.
22%
34°C
$1,320 Vol.
18%
35°C
$1,346 Vol.
12%
36°C
$1,417 Vol.
3%
37°C
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 32°C high in Jakarta on May 6 at 44.5% implied probability, driven by Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) latest hourly forecasts projecting midday peaks of 31-32°C under partly cloudy skies, mirroring the May 5 outlook. This aligns with Jakarta's May climatology, where average daily highs hover around 32°C amid the early dry season transition, enhanced by urban heat island effects but tempered by persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting extremes. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical tropical patterns without amplifying heat. Key uncertainty stems from potential clearing skies boosting 33°C (21%) or 35°C (21%) outcomes; watch BMKG's final pre-resolution update for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Volumen
$24,304Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 32°C high in Jakarta on May 6 at 44.5% implied probability, driven by Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) latest hourly forecasts projecting midday peaks of 31-32°C under partly cloudy skies, mirroring the May 5 outlook. This aligns with Jakarta's May climatology, where average daily highs hover around 32°C amid the early dry season transition, enhanced by urban heat island effects but tempered by persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting extremes. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical tropical patterns without amplifying heat. Key uncertainty stems from potential clearing skies boosting 33°C (21%) or 35°C (21%) outcomes; watch BMKG's final pre-resolution update for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,304Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 32°C high in Jakarta on May 6 at 44.5% implied probability, driven by Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) latest hourly forecasts projecting midday peaks of 31-32°C under partly cloudy skies, mirroring the May 5 outlook. This aligns with Jakarta's May climatology, where average daily highs hover around 32°C amid the early dry season transition, enhanced by urban heat island effects but tempered by persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting extremes. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical tropical patterns without amplifying heat. Key uncertainty stems from potential clearing skies boosting 33°C (21%) or 35°C (21%) outcomes; watch BMKG's final pre-resolution update for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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