National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project today's high temperatures at 84-87°F inland around Houston, with coastal areas slightly cooler at 81-83°F, fueling the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher at George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH). This positioning reflects strong agreement across global models like GFS and ECMWF, which show southerly winds at 10-15 mph promoting warm advection and sufficient insolation amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with May climatological normals near 84°F following yesterday's observed 79°F high. Realistic challenges include a 20-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and suppressing peak heating, potentially capping the high in the upper 70s, though current guidance indicates minimal disruption. Hourly observations will refine the outlook through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?
78°F or higher 99.3%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$40,961 Vol.
$40,961 Vol.
5 may 2026
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
99%
78°F or higher 99.3%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$40,961 Vol.
$40,961 Vol.
5 may 2026
72-73°F
$4,069 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,221 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,678 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$8,647 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project today's high temperatures at 84-87°F inland around Houston, with coastal areas slightly cooler at 81-83°F, fueling the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher at George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH). This positioning reflects strong agreement across global models like GFS and ECMWF, which show southerly winds at 10-15 mph promoting warm advection and sufficient insolation amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with May climatological normals near 84°F following yesterday's observed 79°F high. Realistic challenges include a 20-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and suppressing peak heating, potentially capping the high in the upper 70s, though current guidance indicates minimal disruption. Hourly observations will refine the outlook through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$40,961Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project today's high temperatures at 84-87°F inland around Houston, with coastal areas slightly cooler at 81-83°F, fueling the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher at George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH). This positioning reflects strong agreement across global models like GFS and ECMWF, which show southerly winds at 10-15 mph promoting warm advection and sufficient insolation amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with May climatological normals near 84°F following yesterday's observed 79°F high. Realistic challenges include a 20-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and suppressing peak heating, potentially capping the high in the upper 70s, though current guidance indicates minimal disruption. Hourly observations will refine the outlook through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$40,961Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project today's high temperatures at 84-87°F inland around Houston, with coastal areas slightly cooler at 81-83°F, fueling the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher at George Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH). This positioning reflects strong agreement across global models like GFS and ECMWF, which show southerly winds at 10-15 mph promoting warm advection and sufficient insolation amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with May climatological normals near 84°F following yesterday's observed 79°F high. Realistic challenges include a 20-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and suppressing peak heating, potentially capping the high in the upper 70s, though current guidance indicates minimal disruption. Hourly observations will refine the outlook through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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