Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F (35.5% implied probability) or 86-87°F (25.5%), aligning with National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing partly sunny conditions and highs near 85°F on May 6 amid building high pressure over Texas. Recent heavy rainfall through May 1—dropping highs to the 70s and saturating soils—has introduced lingering cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping extremes below 90°F per GFS and European model ensembles, though dry air advection could nudge peaks higher. Climatological normals for early May at Houston's Intercontinental Airport hover around 84°F, with low wind shear supporting these mid-80s outcomes. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs on May 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 6?
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 13%
88-89°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
81°F or below
10%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 13%
88-89°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
81°F or below
$1,215 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$638 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$585 Vol.
40%
86-87°F
$403 Vol.
29%
88-89°F
$427 Vol.
12%
90-91°F
$371 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$492 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$596 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$428 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,962 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F (35.5% implied probability) or 86-87°F (25.5%), aligning with National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing partly sunny conditions and highs near 85°F on May 6 amid building high pressure over Texas. Recent heavy rainfall through May 1—dropping highs to the 70s and saturating soils—has introduced lingering cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping extremes below 90°F per GFS and European model ensembles, though dry air advection could nudge peaks higher. Climatological normals for early May at Houston's Intercontinental Airport hover around 84°F, with low wind shear supporting these mid-80s outcomes. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs on May 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Volumen
$9,388Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F (35.5% implied probability) or 86-87°F (25.5%), aligning with National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing partly sunny conditions and highs near 85°F on May 6 amid building high pressure over Texas. Recent heavy rainfall through May 1—dropping highs to the 70s and saturating soils—has introduced lingering cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping extremes below 90°F per GFS and European model ensembles, though dry air advection could nudge peaks higher. Climatological normals for early May at Houston's Intercontinental Airport hover around 84°F, with low wind shear supporting these mid-80s outcomes. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs on May 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,388Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 84-85°F (35.5% implied probability) or 86-87°F (25.5%), aligning with National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing partly sunny conditions and highs near 85°F on May 6 amid building high pressure over Texas. Recent heavy rainfall through May 1—dropping highs to the 70s and saturating soils—has introduced lingering cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping extremes below 90°F per GFS and European model ensembles, though dry air advection could nudge peaks higher. Climatological normals for early May at Houston's Intercontinental Airport hover around 84°F, with low wind shear supporting these mid-80s outcomes. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs on May 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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