Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78°F or higher (99.4% implied probability) for Dallas's highest temperature today at Love Field station (KDAL), backed by National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks of 90-95°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds transporting humid Gulf air. Morning observations already exceed 75°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus showing minimal cloud interference or thunderstorm risk following last week's cold front passage. This setup exceeds early May climatological norms (average high ~84°F), with inherent forecast uncertainty limited to potential unmodeled convective pops or wind shifts that could cap highs below 78°F—scenarios deemed improbable by current data. Watch hourly updates from NOAA for intraday confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 5?
78°F or higher 99.7%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$37,334 Vol.
$37,334 Vol.
5 may 2026
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
100%
78°F or higher 99.7%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$37,334 Vol.
$37,334 Vol.
5 may 2026
74-75°F
$5,414 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,912 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$10,889 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78°F or higher (99.4% implied probability) for Dallas's highest temperature today at Love Field station (KDAL), backed by National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks of 90-95°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds transporting humid Gulf air. Morning observations already exceed 75°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus showing minimal cloud interference or thunderstorm risk following last week's cold front passage. This setup exceeds early May climatological norms (average high ~84°F), with inherent forecast uncertainty limited to potential unmodeled convective pops or wind shifts that could cap highs below 78°F—scenarios deemed improbable by current data. Watch hourly updates from NOAA for intraday confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volumen
$37,334Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78°F or higher (99.4% implied probability) for Dallas's highest temperature today at Love Field station (KDAL), backed by National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks of 90-95°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds transporting humid Gulf air. Morning observations already exceed 75°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus showing minimal cloud interference or thunderstorm risk following last week's cold front passage. This setup exceeds early May climatological norms (average high ~84°F), with inherent forecast uncertainty limited to potential unmodeled convective pops or wind shifts that could cap highs below 78°F—scenarios deemed improbable by current data. Watch hourly updates from NOAA for intraday confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,334Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78°F or higher (99.4% implied probability) for Dallas's highest temperature today at Love Field station (KDAL), backed by National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks of 90-95°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds transporting humid Gulf air. Morning observations already exceed 75°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus showing minimal cloud interference or thunderstorm risk following last week's cold front passage. This setup exceeds early May climatological norms (average high ~84°F), with inherent forecast uncertainty limited to potential unmodeled convective pops or wind shifts that could cap highs below 78°F—scenarios deemed improbable by current data. Watch hourly updates from NOAA for intraday confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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