Trader consensus tightly clusters implied probabilities at 35.5% each for 68-69°F, 70-71°F, and 72-73°F highs in Dallas on May 7, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing limited daytime heating under northwest flow and lingering mid-level clouds from a mid-week cold front. Cool mid-tropospheric temperatures around 5-6°C at 500 mb cap boundary layer mixing, while soil moisture from recent showers suppresses insolation; historical May averages near 85°F highlight this atypical setup. Differentiating factors include exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast and subtle front position—new 00Z/12Z model runs today and tomorrow will clarify resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 7?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 7?
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 30%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
67°F or below
9%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 30%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
67°F or below
$221 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$97 Vol.
13%
70-71°F
$99 Vol.
30%
72-73°F
$198 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$109 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$79 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$74 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$59 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$59 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$142 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$59 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus tightly clusters implied probabilities at 35.5% each for 68-69°F, 70-71°F, and 72-73°F highs in Dallas on May 7, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing limited daytime heating under northwest flow and lingering mid-level clouds from a mid-week cold front. Cool mid-tropospheric temperatures around 5-6°C at 500 mb cap boundary layer mixing, while soil moisture from recent showers suppresses insolation; historical May averages near 85°F highlight this atypical setup. Differentiating factors include exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast and subtle front position—new 00Z/12Z model runs today and tomorrow will clarify resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$1,147Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus tightly clusters implied probabilities at 35.5% each for 68-69°F, 70-71°F, and 72-73°F highs in Dallas on May 7, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing limited daytime heating under northwest flow and lingering mid-level clouds from a mid-week cold front. Cool mid-tropospheric temperatures around 5-6°C at 500 mb cap boundary layer mixing, while soil moisture from recent showers suppresses insolation; historical May averages near 85°F highlight this atypical setup. Differentiating factors include exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast and subtle front position—new 00Z/12Z model runs today and tomorrow will clarify resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,147Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus tightly clusters implied probabilities at 35.5% each for 68-69°F, 70-71°F, and 72-73°F highs in Dallas on May 7, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing limited daytime heating under northwest flow and lingering mid-level clouds from a mid-week cold front. Cool mid-tropospheric temperatures around 5-6°C at 500 mb cap boundary layer mixing, while soil moisture from recent showers suppresses insolation; historical May averages near 85°F highlight this atypical setup. Differentiating factors include exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast and subtle front position—new 00Z/12Z model runs today and tomorrow will clarify resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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