Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and ensemble model guidance like GFS and ECMWF for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on May 7, with implied odds centering on 56–65°F amid a cool early-May pattern. A recent cool air mass brought March-like conditions on May 1, keeping departures below seasonal normals of 67°F, while variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorms—flagged in long-range outlooks—could cap highs in the upper 50s or push toward low 60s if skies clear. Lake Michigan moderation and front timing differentiate outcomes: stalled systems favor cooler 56–59°F bins, while quicker clearing boosts 62–65°F. Watch evening NWS updates and tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 7?
60-61°F 31%
62-63°F 17%
58-59°F 13%
55°F or below 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
55°F or below
9%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 31%
62-63°F 17%
58-59°F 13%
55°F or below 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
55°F or below
$309 Vol.
9%
56-57°F
$60 Vol.
5%
58-59°F
$101 Vol.
13%
60-61°F
$195 Vol.
31%
62-63°F
$87 Vol.
17%
64-65°F
$28 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$23 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$23 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$24 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$288 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$319 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and ensemble model guidance like GFS and ECMWF for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on May 7, with implied odds centering on 56–65°F amid a cool early-May pattern. A recent cool air mass brought March-like conditions on May 1, keeping departures below seasonal normals of 67°F, while variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorms—flagged in long-range outlooks—could cap highs in the upper 50s or push toward low 60s if skies clear. Lake Michigan moderation and front timing differentiate outcomes: stalled systems favor cooler 56–59°F bins, while quicker clearing boosts 62–65°F. Watch evening NWS updates and tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$1,458Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and ensemble model guidance like GFS and ECMWF for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on May 7, with implied odds centering on 56–65°F amid a cool early-May pattern. A recent cool air mass brought March-like conditions on May 1, keeping departures below seasonal normals of 67°F, while variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorms—flagged in long-range outlooks—could cap highs in the upper 50s or push toward low 60s if skies clear. Lake Michigan moderation and front timing differentiate outcomes: stalled systems favor cooler 56–59°F bins, while quicker clearing boosts 62–65°F. Watch evening NWS updates and tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,458Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and ensemble model guidance like GFS and ECMWF for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on May 7, with implied odds centering on 56–65°F amid a cool early-May pattern. A recent cool air mass brought March-like conditions on May 1, keeping departures below seasonal normals of 67°F, while variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorms—flagged in long-range outlooks—could cap highs in the upper 50s or push toward low 60s if skies clear. Lake Michigan moderation and front timing differentiate outcomes: stalled systems favor cooler 56–59°F bins, while quicker clearing boosts 62–65°F. Watch evening NWS updates and tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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