Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, project Busan's highest temperature on May 6 at 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly winds and ample sunshine, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring these outcomes at 34% and 30.5%. This consensus stems from recent stable spring patterns, with early May highs averaging 19-21°C historically but trending warmer amid low cloud cover and sea surface temperatures around 16°C enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include minor model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development or coastal breezes, which could cap peaks at 21°C (19%) or push to 24°C (21.5%); daily KMA updates expected by May 5 will refine this 1-2°C uncertainty range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 6?
23°C 35%
22°C 32%
24°C 31%
21°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
32%
23°C
35%
24°C
31%
25°C or higher
3%
23°C 35%
22°C 32%
24°C 31%
21°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
15°C or below
$6,860 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$797 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$285 Vol.
1%
20°C
$278 Vol.
2%
21°C
$325 Vol.
4%
22°C
$220 Vol.
32%
23°C
$106 Vol.
35%
24°C
$175 Vol.
31%
25°C or higher
$362 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, project Busan's highest temperature on May 6 at 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly winds and ample sunshine, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring these outcomes at 34% and 30.5%. This consensus stems from recent stable spring patterns, with early May highs averaging 19-21°C historically but trending warmer amid low cloud cover and sea surface temperatures around 16°C enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include minor model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development or coastal breezes, which could cap peaks at 21°C (19%) or push to 24°C (21.5%); daily KMA updates expected by May 5 will refine this 1-2°C uncertainty range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Volumen
$3,966Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, project Busan's highest temperature on May 6 at 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly winds and ample sunshine, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring these outcomes at 34% and 30.5%. This consensus stems from recent stable spring patterns, with early May highs averaging 19-21°C historically but trending warmer amid low cloud cover and sea surface temperatures around 16°C enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include minor model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development or coastal breezes, which could cap peaks at 21°C (19%) or push to 24°C (21.5%); daily KMA updates expected by May 5 will refine this 1-2°C uncertainty range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,966Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, project Busan's highest temperature on May 6 at 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly winds and ample sunshine, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring these outcomes at 34% and 30.5%. This consensus stems from recent stable spring patterns, with early May highs averaging 19-21°C historically but trending warmer amid low cloud cover and sea surface temperatures around 16°C enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include minor model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development or coastal breezes, which could cap peaks at 21°C (19%) or push to 24°C (21.5%); daily KMA updates expected by May 5 will refine this 1-2°C uncertainty range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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