Traders assign the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting occurring by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any scheduled bilateral summit or confirmed diplomatic timeline following the August 2025 Anchorage encounter. Recent statements from both leaders have centered on Ukraine war compromises discussed in that prior session, with Putin reiterating openness to those terms while Zelenskyy has proposed a separate direct meeting in a neutral venue; Trump has endorsed dialogue between the Ukrainian and Russian presidents but offered no indication of his own follow-up engagement with Putin. Putin's May 2026 Beijing visit and the earlier cancellation of a planned Budapest session underscore stalled bilateral momentum, favoring third-country or multilateral settings if talks advance. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or specific neutral sites align with historical patterns of such meetings occurring only after concrete progress on core issues like territorial or security arrangements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 57%
China 16%
Russia 7%
United States 6%
$30,267 Vol.
$30,267 Vol.
No meeting by December 31
57%
China
16%
Russia
7%
United States
6%
Gulf country
6%
Other
2%
Belarus
2%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
2%
Other EU country
1%
Finland
1%
South Korea
1%
Australia
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 57%
China 16%
Russia 7%
United States 6%
$30,267 Vol.
$30,267 Vol.
No meeting by December 31
57%
China
16%
Russia
7%
United States
6%
Gulf country
6%
Other
2%
Belarus
2%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
2%
Other EU country
1%
Finland
1%
South Korea
1%
Australia
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting occurring by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any scheduled bilateral summit or confirmed diplomatic timeline following the August 2025 Anchorage encounter. Recent statements from both leaders have centered on Ukraine war compromises discussed in that prior session, with Putin reiterating openness to those terms while Zelenskyy has proposed a separate direct meeting in a neutral venue; Trump has endorsed dialogue between the Ukrainian and Russian presidents but offered no indication of his own follow-up engagement with Putin. Putin's May 2026 Beijing visit and the earlier cancellation of a planned Budapest session underscore stalled bilateral momentum, favoring third-country or multilateral settings if talks advance. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or specific neutral sites align with historical patterns of such meetings occurring only after concrete progress on core issues like territorial or security arrangements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions