Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Group D showdown at SoFi Stadium, with Türkiye's slight edge tempered by home advantage for the USMNT co-hosts. Recent injuries loom large: USMNT striker Patrick Agyemang ruled out via Achilles tear in early April, while captain Christian Pulisic endures a career-worst dry spell with no goals in three months at AC Milan. Türkiye frets over Hakan Çalhanoğlu's recurring calf strain and Arda Güler's hamstring issue, though both are projected fit post-club season. Türkiye's momentum from a gritty March playoff win over Kosovo and 2-1 friendly victory over USA last June offsets the Americans' table position and rest advantages, fueling the bunched probabilities amid high stakes for knockout progression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Group D showdown at SoFi Stadium, with Türkiye's slight edge tempered by home advantage for the USMNT co-hosts. Recent injuries loom large: USMNT striker Patrick Agyemang ruled out via Achilles tear in early April, while captain Christian Pulisic endures a career-worst dry spell with no goals in three months at AC Milan. Türkiye frets over Hakan Çalhanoğlu's recurring calf strain and Arda Güler's hamstring issue, though both are projected fit post-club season. Türkiye's momentum from a gritty March playoff win over Kosovo and 2-1 friendly victory over USA last June offsets the Americans' table position and rest advantages, fueling the bunched probabilities amid high stakes for knockout progression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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