Recent vote tabulation in the Los Angeles mayoral primary has kept Spencer Pratt’s share hovering near the 25% threshold, creating a tight contest reflected in the near-even trader pricing. Early returns after the June 2 primary showed Pratt ahead of progressive councilmember Nithya Raman, but later batches of mail ballots—disproportionately from Democratic-leaning voters—have allowed Raman to pull ahead by a slim margin, leaving Pratt at approximately 25.8% with additional ballots still outstanding. Pre-election polling placed him in the low 20s, and his celebrity-driven campaign drew attention without delivering a decisive base in the final tally. Further drops favoring established candidates or higher overall turnout could push Pratt below 25%, while stronger performance in remaining conservative-leaning precincts might secure the over. This dynamic underscores how incremental counting and ballot composition continue to influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
Over
Over
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent vote tabulation in the Los Angeles mayoral primary has kept Spencer Pratt’s share hovering near the 25% threshold, creating a tight contest reflected in the near-even trader pricing. Early returns after the June 2 primary showed Pratt ahead of progressive councilmember Nithya Raman, but later batches of mail ballots—disproportionately from Democratic-leaning voters—have allowed Raman to pull ahead by a slim margin, leaving Pratt at approximately 25.8% with additional ballots still outstanding. Pre-election polling placed him in the low 20s, and his celebrity-driven campaign drew attention without delivering a decisive base in the final tally. Further drops favoring established candidates or higher overall turnout could push Pratt below 25%, while stronger performance in remaining conservative-leaning precincts might secure the over. This dynamic underscores how incremental counting and ballot composition continue to influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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