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Sports·Group Futures

World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance

icon for World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance
Sports·Group Futures

World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance

$19,464 Vol.

Jun 29, 2026
Polymarket

$19,464 Vol.

Polymarket

Morocco

$61 Vol.

55%

Scotland

$654 Vol.

55%

Ecuador

$281 Vol.

51%

Curaçao

$20 Vol.

49%

Jordan

$115 Vol.

48%

Czechia

$798 Vol.

41%

Saudi Arabia

$543 Vol.

32%

Algeria

$283 Vol.

35%

Senegal

$230 Vol.

33%

Mexico

$105 Vol.

20%

Iran

$220 Vol.

31%

Austria

$349 Vol.

30%

South Africa

$0 Vol.

29%

Paraguay

$332 Vol.

28%

Türkiye

$220 Vol.

33%

DR Congo

$511 Vol.

41%

Ghana

$170 Vol.

27%

Uzbekistan

$50 Vol.

23%

Australia

$50 Vol.

23%

Egypt

$0 Vol.

22%

Panama

$0 Vol.

21%

Norway

$100 Vol.

24%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$240 Vol.

21%

Canada

$526 Vol.

30%

Japan

$55 Vol.

28%

Tunisia

$120 Vol.

23%

Qatar

$0 Vol.

19%

Croatia

$268 Vol.

16%

New Zealand

$402 Vol.

33%

Brazil

$4,083 Vol.

14%

Ivory Coast

$1,110 Vol.

14%

Colombia

$0 Vol.

13%

Netherlands

$36 Vol.

12%

Haiti

$261 Vol.

9%

United States

$1,667 Vol.

8%

South Korea

$118 Vol.

29%

Portugal

$332 Vol.

6%

Belgium

$0 Vol.

5%

Uruguay

$20 Vol.

26%

Argentina

$0 Vol.

4%

Iraq

$180 Vol.

13%

Switzerland

$592 Vol.

4%

Germany

$304 Vol.

4%

England

$120 Vol.

4%

France

$837 Vol.

2%

Spain

$2,792 Vol.

1%

Cape Verde

$307 Vol.

50%

Sweden

$96 Vol.

59%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 12 groups of four teams each, with the top two advancing automatically and the eight strongest third-placed sides also progressing to the round of 32 based on points earned, goal difference, goals scored, fair play points, and FIFA ranking. As the group stage unfolds with matches underway since mid-June, recent results have begun shaping the third-place table, where even modest hauls of three or four points can prove decisive depending on results elsewhere. Stronger groups tend to produce third-placed teams with superior records, while weaker sections create opportunities for underdogs to post the necessary goal difference or scoring edge. Remaining fixtures, rest advantages, and potential for high-scoring outcomes will continue to influence comparative standings through the end of the group phase.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.

The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,464
End Date
Jun 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 11:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 12 groups of four teams each, with the top two advancing automatically and the eight strongest third-placed sides also progressing to the round of 32 based on points earned, goal difference, goals scored, fair play points, and FIFA ranking. As the group stage unfolds with matches underway since mid-June, recent results have begun shaping the third-place table, where even modest hauls of three or four points can prove decisive depending on results elsewhere. Stronger groups tend to produce third-placed teams with superior records, while weaker sections create opportunities for underdogs to post the necessary goal difference or scoring edge. Remaining fixtures, rest advantages, and potential for high-scoring outcomes will continue to influence comparative standings through the end of the group phase.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.

The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,464
End Date
Jun 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 11:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sweden" at 59%, followed by "Morocco" at 55%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance" has generated $19.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance" is "Sweden" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Morocco" at 55%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.