Recent phone diplomacy between the U.S. and Russian presidents, including a lengthy call on June 14 focused on Ukraine ceasefire efforts and envoy visits, has sustained bilateral engagement without advancing any in-person summit. The prior face-to-face encounter occurred in Alaska in August 2025, while a planned Budapest meeting was cancelled in late 2025 amid stalled progress. With only two weeks remaining before June 30, no official itinerary, venue announcements, or preparatory announcements have emerged to support travel or logistics for a summit. Trader consensus at 99.2% for no meeting by the deadline reflects this compressed timeline and the incremental pace of negotiations through special envoys rather than leader-level gatherings. A rapid diplomatic breakthrough or surprise announcement could theoretically shift probabilities, though such an outcome would require overcoming current procedural and scheduling constraints within days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 99.2%
United States <1%
Australia <1%
Belarus <1%
$8,467,321 Vol.
$8,467,321 Vol.
No meeting by June 30
99%
United States
<1%
Australia
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Russia
<1%
Other
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Gulf country
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
China
<1%
Finland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
No meeting by June 30 99.2%
United States <1%
Australia <1%
Belarus <1%
$8,467,321 Vol.
$8,467,321 Vol.
No meeting by June 30
99%
United States
<1%
Australia
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Russia
<1%
Other
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Gulf country
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
China
<1%
Finland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent phone diplomacy between the U.S. and Russian presidents, including a lengthy call on June 14 focused on Ukraine ceasefire efforts and envoy visits, has sustained bilateral engagement without advancing any in-person summit. The prior face-to-face encounter occurred in Alaska in August 2025, while a planned Budapest meeting was cancelled in late 2025 amid stalled progress. With only two weeks remaining before June 30, no official itinerary, venue announcements, or preparatory announcements have emerged to support travel or logistics for a summit. Trader consensus at 99.2% for no meeting by the deadline reflects this compressed timeline and the incremental pace of negotiations through special envoys rather than leader-level gatherings. A rapid diplomatic breakthrough or surprise announcement could theoretically shift probabilities, though such an outcome would require overcoming current procedural and scheduling constraints within days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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