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Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$14,302 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$14,302 Vol.

Polymarket

South Sudan

$582 Vol.

65%

Rwanda

$148 Vol.

61%

Burundi

$154 Vol.

54%

United States

$4,258 Vol.

36%

Canada

$785 Vol.

39%

Kenya

$130 Vol.

57%

India

$378 Vol.

43%

Republic of the Congo

$4,093 Vol.

23%

Nigeria

$3 Vol.

55%

Ethiopia

$53 Vol.

52%

Somalia

$3 Vol.

54%

China

$1,760 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Ebola disease outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Uganda, driven by Bundibugyo virus, dominate trader sentiment for 2026 case markets. CDC and WHO report hundreds of suspected and confirmed cases concentrated in Ituri Province since mid-May 2026, with the event declared a public health emergency of international concern amid cross-border movement and insecurity. This species lacks approved vaccines or therapeutics, unlike Zaire ebolavirus strains, and transmission occurs via direct contact with bodily fluids. Historical patterns show DRC experiencing its 17th outbreak since 1976, with prior events ending in December 2025. Enhanced surveillance, contact tracing, and border screening at entry points remain active, while model projections and case reporting schedules through summer 2026 will clarify risks of spread to neighboring nations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$14,302
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Ebola disease outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Uganda, driven by Bundibugyo virus, dominate trader sentiment for 2026 case markets. CDC and WHO report hundreds of suspected and confirmed cases concentrated in Ituri Province since mid-May 2026, with the event declared a public health emergency of international concern amid cross-border movement and insecurity. This species lacks approved vaccines or therapeutics, unlike Zaire ebolavirus strains, and transmission occurs via direct contact with bodily fluids. Historical patterns show DRC experiencing its 17th outbreak since 1976, with prior events ending in December 2025. Enhanced surveillance, contact tracing, and border screening at entry points remain active, while model projections and case reporting schedules through summer 2026 will clarify risks of spread to neighboring nations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$14,302
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Uganda" con 100%, seguido de "South Sudan" con 65%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" ha generado $14.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" es "Uganda" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "South Sudan" con 65%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.