Skip to main content
icon for Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

icon for Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling 48%

Andrew Puzder 19.6%

Bryan Slater 18.9%

None in 2026 7.6%

Polymarket

$46,215 Vol.

Keith Sonderling 48%

Andrew Puzder 19.6%

Bryan Slater 18.9%

None in 2026 7.6%

Polymarket

$46,215 Vol.

Keith Sonderling

$21,629 Vol.

42%

Andrew Puzder

$12,237 Vol.

17%

Bryan Slater

$2,916 Vol.

19%

None in 2026

$933 Vol.

14%

Sean O'Brien

$353 Vol.

5%

Vince Micone

$217 Vol.

5%

Glenn Youngkin

$447 Vol.

4%

Jonathan Berry

$1,296 Vol.

13%

Johnny C. Taylor Jr.

$1,373 Vol.

3%

Brandon Williams

$3,450 Vol.

2%

Patrick Pizzella

$1,363 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent April 2026 departure of confirmed Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer has shifted focus to President Trump’s choice for a permanent successor, elevating Keith Sonderling to the top position in trader consensus. As the current acting secretary and previously confirmed deputy with prior Wage and Hour Division and EEOC experience, Sonderling benefits from continuity and Senate familiarity amid ongoing department leadership needs. Bryan Slater follows due to his first-term DOL role and inclusion on the transition landing team, while options like Jonathan Berry and Andrew Puzder reflect earlier administration ties but lower current positioning. The “none in 2026” share underscores uncertainty over announcement timing and Senate confirmation dynamics before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,215
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent April 2026 departure of confirmed Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer has shifted focus to President Trump’s choice for a permanent successor, elevating Keith Sonderling to the top position in trader consensus. As the current acting secretary and previously confirmed deputy with prior Wage and Hour Division and EEOC experience, Sonderling benefits from continuity and Senate familiarity amid ongoing department leadership needs. Bryan Slater follows due to his first-term DOL role and inclusion on the transition landing team, while options like Jonathan Berry and Andrew Puzder reflect earlier administration ties but lower current positioning. The “none in 2026” share underscores uncertainty over announcement timing and Senate confirmation dynamics before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,215
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keith Sonderling" at 42%, followed by "Bryan Slater" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" has generated $46.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" is "Keith Sonderling" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryan Slater" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.