US naval operations have dominated recent activity in the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February 2026. Multiple US guided-missile destroyers, including the USS Truxtun, USS Rafael Peralta, and USS Mason, transited the waterway in May under CENTCOM protection during “Project Freedom” efforts to clear mines, counter Iranian missile and drone threats, and guide commercial vessels. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute warships for security. India has deployed destroyers and frigates under Operation Urja Suraksha for escort duties in the broader region, while reports note limited or unconfirmed participation by other nations near the strait. Negotiations on reopening traffic remain stalled, with Iranian forces maintaining claims of control and occasional incidents continuing into early June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
$43,191 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
United Kingdom
10%
France
11%
Germany
4%
Italy
5%
Netherlands
5%
Japan
2%
Canada
3%
India
10%
Greece
7%
Pakistan
13%
United States
32%
Saudi Arabia
14%
UAE
13%
Bahrain
14%
Qatar
12%
Kuwait
10%
Oman
13%
South Korea
11%
Australia
9%
$43,191 Vol.
United Kingdom
$17,209 Vol.
10%
France
$1,567 Vol.
11%
Germany
$1,561 Vol.
4%
Italy
$785 Vol.
5%
Netherlands
$5,913 Vol.
5%
Japan
$908 Vol.
2%
Canada
$131 Vol.
3%
India
$357 Vol.
10%
Greece
$219 Vol.
7%
Pakistan
$297 Vol.
13%
United States
$2,366 Vol.
32%
Saudi Arabia
$51 Vol.
14%
UAE
$92 Vol.
13%
Bahrain
$50 Vol.
14%
Qatar
$77 Vol.
12%
Kuwait
$175 Vol.
10%
Oman
$69 Vol.
13%
South Korea
$79 Vol.
11%
Australia
$11,299 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval operations have dominated recent activity in the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February 2026. Multiple US guided-missile destroyers, including the USS Truxtun, USS Rafael Peralta, and USS Mason, transited the waterway in May under CENTCOM protection during “Project Freedom” efforts to clear mines, counter Iranian missile and drone threats, and guide commercial vessels. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute warships for security. India has deployed destroyers and frigates under Operation Urja Suraksha for escort duties in the broader region, while reports note limited or unconfirmed participation by other nations near the strait. Negotiations on reopening traffic remain stalled, with Iranian forces maintaining claims of control and occasional incidents continuing into early June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$43,191End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval operations have dominated recent activity in the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February 2026. Multiple US guided-missile destroyers, including the USS Truxtun, USS Rafael Peralta, and USS Mason, transited the waterway in May under CENTCOM protection during “Project Freedom” efforts to clear mines, counter Iranian missile and drone threats, and guide commercial vessels. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute warships for security. India has deployed destroyers and frigates under Operation Urja Suraksha for escort duties in the broader region, while reports note limited or unconfirmed participation by other nations near the strait. Negotiations on reopening traffic remain stalled, with Iranian forces maintaining claims of control and occasional incidents continuing into early June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$43,191End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US naval operations have dominated recent activity in the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February 2026. Multiple US guided-missile destroyers, including the USS Truxtun, USS Rafael Peralta, and USS Mason, transited the waterway in May under CENTCOM protection during “Project Freedom” efforts to clear mines, counter Iranian missile and drone threats, and guide commercial vessels. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute warships for security. India has deployed destroyers and frigates under Operation Urja Suraksha for escort duties in the broader region, while reports note limited or unconfirmed participation by other nations near the strait. Negotiations on reopening traffic remain stalled, with Iranian forces maintaining claims of control and occasional incidents continuing into early June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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