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Politics·Global Elections

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·Global Elections

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Vivek Ramaswamy 33.0%

Kristi Noem 29.9%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 27.4%

Thomas Massie 26.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Vivek Ramaswamy 33.0%

Kristi Noem 29.9%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 27.4%

Thomas Massie 26.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Donald Trump

$162 Vol.

2%

J.D. Vance

$593 Vol.

13%

Marco Rubio

$240 Vol.

23%

Tulsi Gabbard

$151 Vol.

4%

Glenn Youngkin

$157 Vol.

6%

Donald Trump Jr.

$159 Vol.

6%

Ron DeSantis

$153 Vol.

5%

Nikki Haley

$161 Vol.

5%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$180 Vol.

33%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$158 Vol.

7%

Greg Abbott

$141 Vol.

5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$151 Vol.

4%

Brian Kemp

$151 Vol.

5%

Byron Donalds

$151 Vol.

4%

Elise Stefanik

$176 Vol.

7%

Josh Hawley

$167 Vol.

4%

Ted Cruz

$151 Vol.

5%

Elon Musk

$151 Vol.

4%

Matt Gaetz

$151 Vol.

4%

Katie Britt

$151 Vol.

4%

John Thune

$151 Vol.

5%

Kristi Noem

$151 Vol.

30%

Mike Pence

$153 Vol.

22%

Tucker Carlson

$151 Vol.

4%

Ivanka Trump

$151 Vol.

12%

Tom Brady

$139 Vol.

1%

Rand Paul

$151 Vol.

3%

Steve Bannon

$151 Vol.

27%

Erika Kirk

$162 Vol.

10%

Kim Kardashian

$141 Vol.

3%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$151 Vol.

27%

Thomas Massie

$151 Vol.

27%

Eric Trump

$151 Vol.

3%

Joe Kent

$160 Vol.

26%

Pete Hegseth

$151 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Vivek Ramaswamy, Kristi Noem, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Steve Bannon as near-even frontrunners for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination, reflecting an open post-Trump field where term limits bar the president's third run and Vice President J.D. Vance leads presidential odds at 39% without signaling a running mate preference. This tightness stems from the absence of declared 2028 primary challengers, factional GOP divides between MAGA purists and libertarians, and early positioning amid Trump administration policy tests on immigration and economy. Noem's March 2026 exit from DHS Secretary—transitioning to Special Envoy—preserves her executive credentials despite scrutiny, while CPAC's March straw poll solidified Vance's presidential edge without clarifying VP dynamics. Separation could arise from 2026 midterm outcomes, Trump or Vance endorsements, exploratory committee launches, or scandals, with the RNC convention targeted for summer 2028 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,917
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Vivek Ramaswamy, Kristi Noem, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Steve Bannon as near-even frontrunners for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination, reflecting an open post-Trump field where term limits bar the president's third run and Vice President J.D. Vance leads presidential odds at 39% without signaling a running mate preference. This tightness stems from the absence of declared 2028 primary challengers, factional GOP divides between MAGA purists and libertarians, and early positioning amid Trump administration policy tests on immigration and economy. Noem's March 2026 exit from DHS Secretary—transitioning to Special Envoy—preserves her executive credentials despite scrutiny, while CPAC's March straw poll solidified Vance's presidential edge without clarifying VP dynamics. Separation could arise from 2026 midterm outcomes, Trump or Vance endorsements, exploratory committee launches, or scandals, with the RNC convention targeted for summer 2028 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,917
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vivek Ramaswamy" at 33%, followed by "Kristi Noem" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Vivek Ramaswamy" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kristi Noem" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.