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Pmqs predictions & odds

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

89%

Mr. Speaker 20+ times

$43 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

66%

Andy Burnham

$10M Vol.

$104K today

$1M Liq.

102

Ends in 7 months

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

7%

$42.6K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

80%

December 31

$31M Vol.

$160K today

$286K Liq.

1,754

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

48%

$4.9K Vol.

$292 Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

46%

$8.3K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

86%

Robert Kenyon

$67.9K Vol.

$99.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

41%

4-5%

$2.1K Vol.

$633 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

95%

Negative

$48 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

51%

Chris Hipkins

$3.7K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

78%

No change

$4.5K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

5%

$6.5K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

Test Series England vs. New Zealand: England vs New Zealand

Test Series England vs. New Zealand: England vs New Zealand

54%

England

$0 Vol.

$746 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 12?

FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 12?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$35 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

Democrats Sweep

$8M Vol.

$897K Liq.

214

Ends in 5 months

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

73%

Burnham 9%+

$25.4K Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$102K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

6

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

94%

Rate / Cut

$14.8K Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

41%

Anthony Albanese

$91 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Pmqs.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Pmqs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $49.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 80% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Pmqs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.