Kevin Warsh, sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on May 22, 2026, will chair his first FOMC meeting on June 16–17, with the associated press conference on June 17 marking his initial formal address to markets in the role. Traders are focused on signals around monetary policy amid elevated inflation pressures and recent hawkish comments from committee members, including potential openness to rate hikes despite prior expectations of steady policy. Warsh has previously advocated regime change at the Fed, greater strategic ambiguity in communications, and skepticism toward holding press conferences after every meeting, which could shape the tone, length, or content of his remarks. Additional factors include divided FOMC views, external political commentary on rates, and whether he provides updates to the Summary of Economic Projections or outlines shifts from prior frameworks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Jun 18, 2026
Inflation 40+ times
66%
Inflation 50+ times
35%
Inflation 60+ times
45%
Job 15+ times
62%
Jerome / Powell
63%
Trump
49%
Rate / Cut
74%
Money
54%
Good Afternoon
59%
Depression / Recession
60%
Chair
75%
FED
77%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
73%
Crypto / Bitcoin
41%
Balance Sheet
80%
Dual Mandate
39%
Goods Inflation
41%
Stock
27%
I Don't Know
53%
Downside
46%
Trend
59%
Stable / Stability
70%
Job Market
44%
Maximum Employment
37%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
52%
Groupthink / Group Think
51%
Asymmetric
50%
$639 Vol.
Inflation 40+ times
$0 Vol.
66%
Inflation 50+ times
$0 Vol.
35%
Inflation 60+ times
$0 Vol.
45%
Job 15+ times
$0 Vol.
62%
Jerome / Powell
$19 Vol.
63%
Trump
$574 Vol.
49%
Rate / Cut
$0 Vol.
74%
Money
$0 Vol.
54%
Good Afternoon
$19 Vol.
59%
Depression / Recession
$0 Vol.
60%
Chair
$0 Vol.
75%
FED
$0 Vol.
77%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$0 Vol.
73%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$20 Vol.
41%
Balance Sheet
$8 Vol.
80%
Dual Mandate
$0 Vol.
39%
Goods Inflation
$0 Vol.
41%
Stock
$0 Vol.
27%
I Don't Know
$0 Vol.
53%
Downside
$0 Vol.
46%
Trend
$0 Vol.
59%
Stable / Stability
$0 Vol.
70%
Job Market
$0 Vol.
44%
Maximum Employment
$0 Vol.
37%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$0 Vol.
52%
Groupthink / Group Think
$0 Vol.
51%
Asymmetric
$0 Vol.
50%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh, sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on May 22, 2026, will chair his first FOMC meeting on June 16–17, with the associated press conference on June 17 marking his initial formal address to markets in the role. Traders are focused on signals around monetary policy amid elevated inflation pressures and recent hawkish comments from committee members, including potential openness to rate hikes despite prior expectations of steady policy. Warsh has previously advocated regime change at the Fed, greater strategic ambiguity in communications, and skepticism toward holding press conferences after every meeting, which could shape the tone, length, or content of his remarks. Additional factors include divided FOMC views, external political commentary on rates, and whether he provides updates to the Summary of Economic Projections or outlines shifts from prior frameworks.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$639End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh, sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on May 22, 2026, will chair his first FOMC meeting on June 16–17, with the associated press conference on June 17 marking his initial formal address to markets in the role. Traders are focused on signals around monetary policy amid elevated inflation pressures and recent hawkish comments from committee members, including potential openness to rate hikes despite prior expectations of steady policy. Warsh has previously advocated regime change at the Fed, greater strategic ambiguity in communications, and skepticism toward holding press conferences after every meeting, which could shape the tone, length, or content of his remarks. Additional factors include divided FOMC views, external political commentary on rates, and whether he provides updates to the Summary of Economic Projections or outlines shifts from prior frameworks.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$639End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh, sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on May 22, 2026, will chair his first FOMC meeting on June 16–17, with the associated press conference on June 17 marking his initial formal address to markets in the role. Traders are focused on signals around monetary policy amid elevated inflation pressures and recent hawkish comments from committee members, including potential openness to rate hikes despite prior expectations of steady policy. Warsh has previously advocated regime change at the Fed, greater strategic ambiguity in communications, and skepticism toward holding press conferences after every meeting, which could shape the tone, length, or content of his remarks. Additional factors include divided FOMC views, external political commentary on rates, and whether he provides updates to the Summary of Economic Projections or outlines shifts from prior frameworks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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