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Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

icon for Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

NEW
Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket

$39 Vol.

Polymarket

Lisa Murkowski

$0 Vol.

49%

Dan Sullivan

$0 Vol.

54%

Mitch McConnell

$0 Vol.

80%

Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

50%

Bill Cassidy

$21 Vol.

51%

Susan Collins

$0 Vol.

50%

Thom Tillis

$0 Vol.

57%

John Fetterman

$0 Vol.

46%

John Cornyn

$19 Vol.

65%

John Curtis

$0 Vol.

58%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. Trump’s June 8, 2026, formal nomination of acting Attorney General Todd Blanche to the permanent post has set the stage for a Senate confirmation process that begins with referral to the Judiciary Committee. Blanche, who won confirmation as deputy attorney general in March 2025 by a 52-46 party-line vote, faces a schedule that could place a committee hearing in mid-July and a floor vote before the August recess if paperwork and committee procedures advance on the typical timeline. Republican leaders are targeting final action by summer’s end, yet several GOP senators have signaled possible conditions or concerns over Blanche’s record as deputy and acting AG. Democrats are expected to oppose the nomination, making near-unanimous Republican support the central variable for confirmation under the simple-majority threshold. Scheduled committee and floor timelines, along with any emerging holds or public statements from key senators, represent the nearest catalysts that could shift trader assessments of the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. Trump’s June 8, 2026, formal nomination of acting Attorney General Todd Blanche to the permanent post has set the stage for a Senate confirmation process that begins with referral to the Judiciary Committee. Blanche, who won confirmation as deputy attorney general in March 2025 by a 52-46 party-line vote, faces a schedule that could place a committee hearing in mid-July and a floor vote before the August recess if paperwork and committee procedures advance on the typical timeline. Republican leaders are targeting final action by summer’s end, yet several GOP senators have signaled possible conditions or concerns over Blanche’s record as deputy and acting AG. Democrats are expected to oppose the nomination, making near-unanimous Republican support the central variable for confirmation under the simple-majority threshold. Scheduled committee and floor timelines, along with any emerging holds or public statements from key senators, represent the nearest catalysts that could shift trader assessments of the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mitch McConnell" at 80%, followed by "John Cornyn" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?" is "Mitch McConnell" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Cornyn" at 65%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.