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Iran Regime predictions & odds

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Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

<1%

$58M Vol.

$9M today

$2M Liq.

4

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

15%

June 30

$41M Vol.

$2M today

$746K Liq.

387

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

$14M Vol.

$808K today

$329K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

$36M Vol.

$575K today

$546K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

41%

December 31

$12M Vol.

$403K today

$280K Liq.

1,067

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$229K today

$330K Liq.

362

Ends in 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

21%

$16M Vol.

$136K today

$199K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

15%

$658K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

23

Ends in 2 months

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

7%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$49.5K Liq.

65

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

60%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$2M Liq.

97

Ends in 8 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

25%

June 30

$456K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

46

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

10%

$1M Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

37

Ends in 8 months

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

1%

April 30

$484K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

97

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

4%

$210K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

1%

April 30

$647K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

72

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

June 30

$428K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

9

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

1%

April 30

$201K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

3

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

11%

$559K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

13%

$74.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

5%

$133K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Iran Regime.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Iran Regime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $207.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Iran Regime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.