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Shipping predictions & odds

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Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

11%

$51.0K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

1%

April 30

$201K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

3

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

16%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$94.1K today

$56.1K Liq.

85

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

91%

8–9

$257K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

18%

$47.4K Vol.

$90.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

1%

$434K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

52

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

42%

May 31

$11M Vol.

$579K today

$343K Liq.

266

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

16%

June 30

$223K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

15

Ends in 2 months

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

1%

United Kingdom

$3M Vol.

$71.4K Liq.

143

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

92%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$67.2K today

$5.3K Liq.

120

Ends in 2 months

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

77%

3,400

$2 Vol.

$173 Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

32

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

2%

$5.6K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

21%

May 31

$108K Vol.

$64.9K Liq.

10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

50%

10-20

$0 Vol.

$663 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

31%

$138K Vol.

$83.8K today

$20.9K Liq.

154

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$630K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

100%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$83.6K today

$28.7K Liq.

41

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

100%

>$600M

$29M Vol.

$6M today

$625K Liq.

320

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Shipping.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Shipping that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $52.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Shipping predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.