Iran's presidential term runs four years under the constitution, with the most recent vote held in 2024 and the next scheduled for 2028, creating no automatic ballot by June 30, 2026. No snap election has been announced by the Guardian Council or Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, and the two-week window remaining offers insufficient time for candidate vetting, campaigning, or voting logistics even under Article 131 emergency procedures triggered by a leadership vacancy. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these fixed institutional constraints and the absence of any recent diplomatic, military, or domestic catalyst—such as the earlier 2026 conflict resolution—that would compel an accelerated vote. A sudden presidential death or major regime crisis could theoretically shift timelines, though organizing a poll in the remaining days remains structurally improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$718,337 Vol.
$718,337 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$718,337 Vol.
$718,337 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's presidential term runs four years under the constitution, with the most recent vote held in 2024 and the next scheduled for 2028, creating no automatic ballot by June 30, 2026. No snap election has been announced by the Guardian Council or Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, and the two-week window remaining offers insufficient time for candidate vetting, campaigning, or voting logistics even under Article 131 emergency procedures triggered by a leadership vacancy. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these fixed institutional constraints and the absence of any recent diplomatic, military, or domestic catalyst—such as the earlier 2026 conflict resolution—that would compel an accelerated vote. A sudden presidential death or major regime crisis could theoretically shift timelines, though organizing a poll in the remaining days remains structurally improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$718,337End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's presidential term runs four years under the constitution, with the most recent vote held in 2024 and the next scheduled for 2028, creating no automatic ballot by June 30, 2026. No snap election has been announced by the Guardian Council or Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, and the two-week window remaining offers insufficient time for candidate vetting, campaigning, or voting logistics even under Article 131 emergency procedures triggered by a leadership vacancy. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these fixed institutional constraints and the absence of any recent diplomatic, military, or domestic catalyst—such as the earlier 2026 conflict resolution—that would compel an accelerated vote. A sudden presidential death or major regime crisis could theoretically shift timelines, though organizing a poll in the remaining days remains structurally improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$718,337End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's presidential term runs four years under the constitution, with the most recent vote held in 2024 and the next scheduled for 2028, creating no automatic ballot by June 30, 2026. No snap election has been announced by the Guardian Council or Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, and the two-week window remaining offers insufficient time for candidate vetting, campaigning, or voting logistics even under Article 131 emergency procedures triggered by a leadership vacancy. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these fixed institutional constraints and the absence of any recent diplomatic, military, or domestic catalyst—such as the earlier 2026 conflict resolution—that would compel an accelerated vote. A sudden presidential death or major regime crisis could theoretically shift timelines, though organizing a poll in the remaining days remains structurally improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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