Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including a 2025-2026 conflict followed by a fragile ceasefire and mediated nuclear talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad, continue to block any path to embassy reopening. The United States maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with repeated security alerts urging American citizens to depart. Recent June 2026 negotiations focus on extending the ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, yet official statements and actions show no progress toward full normalization or reciprocal embassy operations by year-end. Structural barriers such as unresolved sanctions, proxy conflicts, and verification disputes make restoration of formal relations improbable within the 2026 timeline, aligning with the 89.5% trader consensus against reopening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
Sí
$147,676 Vol.
$147,676 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$147,676 Vol.
$147,676 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including a 2025-2026 conflict followed by a fragile ceasefire and mediated nuclear talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad, continue to block any path to embassy reopening. The United States maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with repeated security alerts urging American citizens to depart. Recent June 2026 negotiations focus on extending the ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, yet official statements and actions show no progress toward full normalization or reciprocal embassy operations by year-end. Structural barriers such as unresolved sanctions, proxy conflicts, and verification disputes make restoration of formal relations improbable within the 2026 timeline, aligning with the 89.5% trader consensus against reopening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volumen
$147,676Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including a 2025-2026 conflict followed by a fragile ceasefire and mediated nuclear talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad, continue to block any path to embassy reopening. The United States maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with repeated security alerts urging American citizens to depart. Recent June 2026 negotiations focus on extending the ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, yet official statements and actions show no progress toward full normalization or reciprocal embassy operations by year-end. Structural barriers such as unresolved sanctions, proxy conflicts, and verification disputes make restoration of formal relations improbable within the 2026 timeline, aligning with the 89.5% trader consensus against reopening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$150,877Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including a 2025-2026 conflict followed by a fragile ceasefire and mediated nuclear talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad, continue to block any path to embassy reopening. The United States maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with repeated security alerts urging American citizens to depart. Recent June 2026 negotiations focus on extending the ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, yet official statements and actions show no progress toward full normalization or reciprocal embassy operations by year-end. Structural barriers such as unresolved sanctions, proxy conflicts, and verification disputes make restoration of formal relations improbable within the 2026 timeline, aligning with the 89.5% trader consensus against reopening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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