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Sanctions predictions & odds

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What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

1%

Oil Sanction Relief

$4M Vol.

$134K today

$155K Liq.

143

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

25%

Oil Sanction Relief

$34.5K Vol.

$112K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

43%

$165K Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

16%

June 30

$217K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

15

Ends in 2 months

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

1%

April 30

$373K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

2

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

2%

Ghawar Field

$550K Vol.

$59.4K Liq.

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

$637K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

62

Ends in 2 months

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

UEFA Europa League: Most Cards

UEFA Europa League: Most Cards

50%

Fred

$1.9K Vol.

$13 Liq.

Ends in 20 days

UEFA Champions League: Most Cards

UEFA Champions League: Most Cards

50%

Kim Min-Jae

$3.8K Vol.

$21 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards

50%

Pathé Ismaël Ciss

$14.6K Vol.

$21 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

64%

Team Nemesis

$0 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

65%

Imperial

$0 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

77%

The Last Resort

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

100%

paiN Academy

$357 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Banger Gang

$185 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

Washed

$17.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

100%

Imperial Academy

$85.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: No Surrender vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: No Surrender vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs

100%

OlyBet SB

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: 8Sins vs playersclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: 8Sins vs playersclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs

100%

playersclub

$54.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Sanctions.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Sanctions that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 1% chance to Oil Sanction Relief. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sanctions predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.