US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 removed the incumbent but left Venezuela’s governing institutions and security apparatus largely intact under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, who assumed the role amid a declared state of emergency. Trader consensus reflects this continuity, with Maduro allies retaining key posts and the National Assembly aligned with the prior regime, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain in exile and no transition election has occurred. US policy has emphasized sanctions relief tied to oil cooperation rather than regime replacement, limiting momentum for alternatives. These factors position Rodríguez as the primary near-term successor and sustain elevated odds for Chavista leadership through year-end despite the leadership vacuum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 73.4%
Delcy Rodríguez 17%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Jorge Rodríguez <1%
$90,874,824 Vol.
$90,874,824 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nicolás Maduro
73%
Delcy Rodríguez
17%
María Corina Machado
4%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Sin jefe de Estado
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 73.4%
Delcy Rodríguez 17%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Jorge Rodríguez <1%
$90,874,824 Vol.
$90,874,824 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$1,843,105 Vol.
73%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,640,533 Vol.
17%
María Corina Machado
$1,222,012 Vol.
4%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,041,522 Vol.
1%
Sin jefe de Estado
$1,284,633 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,016,917 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,894,542 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$951,048 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,504,817 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$696,281 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,332,593 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,780,465 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,105,298 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,804,283 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,439,214 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,318,516 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 removed the incumbent but left Venezuela’s governing institutions and security apparatus largely intact under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, who assumed the role amid a declared state of emergency. Trader consensus reflects this continuity, with Maduro allies retaining key posts and the National Assembly aligned with the prior regime, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain in exile and no transition election has occurred. US policy has emphasized sanctions relief tied to oil cooperation rather than regime replacement, limiting momentum for alternatives. These factors position Rodríguez as the primary near-term successor and sustain elevated odds for Chavista leadership through year-end despite the leadership vacuum.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$90,874,824Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 removed the incumbent but left Venezuela’s governing institutions and security apparatus largely intact under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, who assumed the role amid a declared state of emergency. Trader consensus reflects this continuity, with Maduro allies retaining key posts and the National Assembly aligned with the prior regime, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain in exile and no transition election has occurred. US policy has emphasized sanctions relief tied to oil cooperation rather than regime replacement, limiting momentum for alternatives. These factors position Rodríguez as the primary near-term successor and sustain elevated odds for Chavista leadership through year-end despite the leadership vacuum.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volumen
$90,874,824Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 removed the incumbent but left Venezuela’s governing institutions and security apparatus largely intact under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, who assumed the role amid a declared state of emergency. Trader consensus reflects this continuity, with Maduro allies retaining key posts and the National Assembly aligned with the prior regime, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain in exile and no transition election has occurred. US policy has emphasized sanctions relief tied to oil cooperation rather than regime replacement, limiting momentum for alternatives. These factors position Rodríguez as the primary near-term successor and sustain elevated odds for Chavista leadership through year-end despite the leadership vacuum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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